Football · Finland Kolmonen · 12/09, 16:15

Prediction: FC Kontu vs Tips Vantaa

Team pages: FC Kontu · Tips Vantaa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.22Total

FC Kontu1.97

Tips Vantaa2.25

1X2

34% 21% 45%

FC Kontu Draw Tips Vantaa

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Kontu 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLWDLDLL

Tips Vantaa 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

FC Kontu 0–3 Tips Vantaa (3 last)

Tips Vantaa2-0FC Kontu
Tips Vantaa5-2FC Kontu
FC Kontu1-4Tips Vantaa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Kontu 1454 · Tips Vantaa 1545

	FC Kontu	Draw	Tips Vantaa
Our model	34%	21%	45%
Market	34%	21%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 4.22 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tips Vantaa (rating 1454 vs 1545).
H2H favours Tips Vantaa: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Kontu	Tips Vantaa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.5	2.6 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/25/25%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.9	2.9 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.60

X4.33

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 41.95

Under 41.85

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:16 +20’	2.60	4.33	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kontu 0–0–3 Tips Vantaa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	Tips Vantaa	2-0 HT 2-0	FC Kontu
19/09/20 Finland Kolmonen	Tips Vantaa	5-2 HT 3-1	FC Kontu
27/07/18 Finland Kolmonen	FC Kontu	1-4 HT 1-2	Tips Vantaa

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MPS/Atletico Malmi	18	11	2	5	37	31	35
2	ToTe	17	10	4	3	40	21	34
3	PPJ/Lauttasaari	19	9	5	5	54	28	32
4	LPS Helsinki	17	10	2	5	50	33	32
5	Tips Vantaa	18	10	1	7	43	40	31
6	VJS Vantaa II	19	8	3	8	59	35	27
7	Atlantis FC/PM	19	8	3	8	50	65	27
8	Valtti	18	8	2	8	33	36	26
9	HPS II	19	5	5	9	44	49	20
10	Töölön Taisto	18	4	8	6	37	42	20
11	FC Kontu	18	3	6	9	30	46	15
12	PPS	18	2	1	15	17	68	7

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Kontu	Tips Vantaa
Töölön Taisto	1-4 L	5-3 W
ToTe	1-2 L	2-0 W
Valtti	2-2 D	3-2 W
MPS/Atletico Malmi	1-1 D	3-1 W
HPS II	3-2 W	2-1 W
Atlantis FC/PM	2-3 L	2-4 L
PPS	4-3 W	3-0 W
LPS Helsinki	3-4 L	4-7 L
VJS Vantaa II	1-0 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	6 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tips Vantaa (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Kontu

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	–	1-4	–	–	L
28/08	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L
21/08	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-2	9	4	D
14/08	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-4	3	4	L
07/08	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
31/07	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-2	1	2	W
23/07	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	1	4	L
02/07	PPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	4-3	14	4	W
26/06	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	0-3	3-4	5	1	L
12/06	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	3	5	W

Tips Vantaa

LLDWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
31/08	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	2-1	5-3	4	7	W
29/08	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-1	6	7	W
21/08	PPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-0	8	7	W
14/08	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	7	1	W
09/08	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-4	3	4	L
29/07	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-2	5	6	W
23/07	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
25/06	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	0-4	2-4	6	5	L
17/06	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	2-3	4-7	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Kontu vs Tips Vantaa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tips Vantaa win (45%). Probabilities: FC Kontu 34%, draw 21%, Tips Vantaa 45%.

How many goals are expected in FC Kontu vs Tips Vantaa?

The model expects 4.22 goals (FC Kontu 1.97 · Tips Vantaa 2.25), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Kontu vs Tips Vantaa?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.