Football · Finland Kolmonen · 12/09, 15:00

Prediction: Gilla FC vs NuPS

Team pages: Gilla FC · NuPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

Gilla FC2.16

NuPS1.68

1X2

49% 22% 30%

Gilla FC Draw NuPS

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Gilla FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLWDW

NuPS 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLLDW

Head-to-head

Gilla FC 0–1–0 NuPS (1 last)

NuPS1-1Gilla FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gilla FC 1499 · NuPS 1518

	Gilla FC	Draw	NuPS
Our model	48%	22%	29%
Market	49%	21%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gilla FC	NuPS
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 2.3	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/33/11%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.6	2.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.88

Under 3.751.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
08:32 +10’	1.83	4.20	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gilla FC 0–1–0 NuPS

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	NuPS	1-1 HT 1-1	Gilla FC

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EIF Academy	18	12	4	2	61	24	40
2	ESPA	18	12	3	3	42	18	39
3	LePa	19	11	3	5	38	30	36
4	Poxyt	18	9	2	7	39	36	29
5	NuPS	18	7	5	6	30	24	26
6	GrIFK Reservi	19	8	2	9	34	38	26
7	Gilla FC	18	7	3	8	41	38	24
8	LOPA	18	7	3	8	29	31	24
9	PPJ/Ruoholahti	18	5	3	10	26	45	18
10	MPS	19	4	5	10	21	35	17
11	HooGee	19	5	2	12	35	51	17
12	EPS Reservi	18	3	5	10	24	50	14

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gilla FC	NuPS
GrIFK Reservi	7-1 W	3-0 W
EPS Reservi	2-2 D	2-0 W
PPJ/Ruoholahti	2-0 W	6-1 W
ESPA	1-4 L	0-2 L
Poxyt	1-3 L	1-2 L
MPS	3-2 W	2-0 W
LePa	0-2 L	0-1 L
HooGee	6-3 W	4-3 W
LOPA	2-3 L	2-2 D
EIF Academy	1-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 5 L	5 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: NuPS (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gilla FC

LLWLWLLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-1	7-1	10	4	W
28/08	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	6	0	D
20/08	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	3	2	W
12/08	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-3	1-4	8	4	L
08/08	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
31/07	MPS Finland Kolmonen	3-1	3-2	4	7	W
22/07	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	8	1	L
01/07	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	3-2	6-3	6	1	W
23/06	LOPA Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-3	1	2	L
10/06	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-3	4	4	L

NuPS

LWWWWLLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	–	2-0	–	–	W
28/08	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-2	3	7	D
21/08	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
14/08	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
07/08	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
31/07	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	1-1	4-3	4	4	W
03/07	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	–	3-0	–	–	W
25/06	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	3-1	6-1	7	1	W
17/06	MPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
10/06	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-2	7	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gilla FC vs NuPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gilla FC win (49%). Probabilities: Gilla FC 49%, draw 22%, NuPS 30%.

How many goals are expected in Gilla FC vs NuPS?

The model expects 3.84 goals (Gilla FC 2.16 · NuPS 1.68), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gilla FC vs NuPS?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.