Football · Finland Kolmonen · 11/09, 19:15

Prediction: Poxyt vs EIF Academy

Team pages: Poxyt · EIF Academy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.4Total

Poxyt1.54

EIF Academy2.86

1X2

18% 18% 64%

Poxyt Draw EIF Academy

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Poxyt 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWDLLW

EIF Academy 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWDDD

Head-to-head

Poxyt 4–1–1 EIF Academy (6 last)

EIF Academy7-3Poxyt
Poxyt3-3EIF Academy
EIF Academy2-4Poxyt
Poxyt5-1EIF Academy
EIF Academy0-2Poxyt
EIF Academy0-2Poxyt

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Poxyt 1467 · EIF Academy 1611

	Poxyt	Draw	EIF Academy
Our model	18%	18%	64%
Market	18%	18%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 4.4 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EIF Academy (rating 1467 vs 1611).
H2H favours Poxyt: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Poxyt	EIF Academy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	3.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	1.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/13/63%	78/11/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.5	2.7 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	2.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

15.00

X5.00

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.85

2 (-1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 41.82

Under 41.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
06:25 +1’	5.00	5.00	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Poxyt 4–1–1 EIF Academy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	EIF Academy	7-3 HT 4-2	Poxyt
27/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	Poxyt	3-3 HT 1-1	EIF Academy
26/06/25 Finland Kolmonen	EIF Academy	2-4 HT 2-0	Poxyt
05/08/22 Finland Kolmonen	Poxyt	5-1 HT 4-0	EIF Academy
28/04/22 Finland Kolmonen	EIF Academy	0-2 HT 0-1	Poxyt
12/08/21 Finland Kolmonen	EIF Academy	0-2 HT 0-1	Poxyt

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EIF Academy	18	12	4	2	61	24	40
2	ESPA	18	12	3	3	42	18	39
3	LePa	18	11	3	4	38	29	36
4	Poxyt	18	9	2	7	39	36	29
5	NuPS	18	7	5	6	30	24	26
6	Gilla FC	18	7	3	8	41	38	24
7	LoPa	18	7	3	8	29	31	24
8	GrIFK Reservi	18	7	2	9	33	38	23
9	PPJ/Ruoholahti	18	5	3	10	26	45	18
10	MPS	18	4	4	10	18	32	16
11	HooGee	18	5	1	12	32	48	16
12	EPS Reservi	18	3	5	10	24	50	14

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Poxyt	EIF Academy
ESPA	3-0 W	1-1 D
PPJ/Ruoholahti	1-2 L	4-0 W
GrIFK Reservi	1-3 L	2-1 W
EPS Reservi	2-2 D	3-0 W
LePa	1-5 L	1-1 D
HooGee	2-1 W	4-2 W
MPS	2-3 L	4-0 W
LOPA	0-2 L	2-2 D
NuPS	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 5 L	6 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: EIF Academy (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Poxyt

WLLWLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	–	3-0	–	–	W
27/08	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
21/08	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-3	5	4	L
16/08	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	6	2	D
08/08	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
31/07	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-5	2	2	L
23/07	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
28/06	MPS Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-3	2	2	L
16/06	LOPA Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	0	3	L
10/06	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-1	4	1	W

EIF Academy

WWWWWWWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
28/08	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/08	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	15	0	D
14/08	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
06/08	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
30/07	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-1	5	8	W
27/07	PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	4	1	W
01/07	MPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	3	4	W
25/06	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	2-1	4-2	3	1	W
17/06	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	3-2	9-2	11	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Poxyt vs EIF Academy?

According to our model, the most likely result is an EIF Academy win (64%). Probabilities: Poxyt 18%, draw 18%, EIF Academy 64%.

How many goals are expected in Poxyt vs EIF Academy?

The model expects 4.4 goals (Poxyt 1.54 · EIF Academy 2.86), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Poxyt vs EIF Academy?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.