Prediction: TPS vs FF Jaro
- TPS3-2FF Jaro
- FF Jaro2-2TPS
- TPS3-0FF Jaro
- FF Jaro0-1TPS
- TPS0-2FF Jaro
- TPS0-3FF Jaro
| TPS | Draw | FF Jaro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 28% | 26% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TPS (rating 1483 vs 1423).
- H2H favours TPS: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| TPS | FF Jaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.4 | 1.3 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · TPS 3–1–2 FF Jaro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | TPS | 3-2 HT 1-2 | FF Jaro |
| 02/05/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | FF Jaro | 2-2 HT 1-1 | TPS |
| 03/10/24 Finland Ykkosliiga | TPS | 3-0 HT 2-0 | FF Jaro |
| 02/06/24 Finland Ykkosliiga | FF Jaro | 0-1 HT 0-1 | TPS |
| 13/04/24 Finland Ykkosliiga | TPS | 0-2 HT 0-2 | FF Jaro |
| 03/02/24 Finland Ykkoscup | TPS | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FF Jaro |
Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lahti | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | FC Ilves | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 34 |
| 3 | TPS | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 27 | 32 |
| 4 | SJK | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 24 |
| 5 | IFK Mariehamn | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 47 | 17 |
| 6 | FF Jaro | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 48 | 17 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | TPS | FF Jaro |
|---|---|---|
| FC Ilves | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| IFK Mariehamn | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| SJK | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| FC Inter | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| VPS Vaasa | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| HJK Helsinki | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: TPS (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
TPS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 08/09 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 31/08 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/07 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
FF Jaro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 08/09 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/07 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 19/07 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in TPS vs FF Jaro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a TPS win (45%). Probabilities: TPS 45%, draw 28%, FF Jaro 27%.
How many goals are expected in TPS vs FF Jaro?
The model expects 2.58 goals (TPS 1.49 · FF Jaro 1.09), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in TPS vs FF Jaro?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.