Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 17/10, 13:00
Prediction: FC Lahti vs TPS
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
FC Lahti1.57
TPS0.97
1X2
FC Lahti
Draw
TPS
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Lahti
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
TPS
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Lahti
1–4–1
TPS
(6 last)
- FC Lahti0-0TPS
- TPS2-1FC Lahti
- FC Lahti5-1TPS
- TPS3-3FC Lahti
- FC Lahti2-2TPS
- TPS2-2FC Lahti
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Lahti | TPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.2 | 2.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Lahti 1–4–1 TPS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | FC Lahti | 0-0 HT 0-0 | TPS |
| 10/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | TPS | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Lahti |
| 31/01/26 Finland Liigacup | FC Lahti | 5-1 HT 2-0 | TPS |
| 18/10/25 Finland Ykkosliiga | TPS | 3-3 HT 3-1 | FC Lahti |
| 14/07/25 Finland Ykkosliiga | FC Lahti | 2-2 HT 1-1 | TPS |
| 21/05/25 Finland Ykkosliiga | TPS | 2-2 HT 1-0 | FC Lahti |
Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lahti | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 25 | 36 |
| 2 | FC Ilves | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 39 | 35 |
| 3 | TPS | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 28 | 32 |
| 4 | SJK | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 27 |
| 5 | FF Jaro | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 48 | 20 |
| 6 | IFK Mariehamn | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 48 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Lahti | TPS |
|---|---|---|
| SJK | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| FF Jaro | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| FC Ilves | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| IFK Mariehamn | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| VPS Vaasa | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| KuPS Kuopio | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| FC Inter | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Lahti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/09 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 21/08 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 16/08 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
TPS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 08/09 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 31/08 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Lahti vs TPS?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Lahti win (50%). Probabilities: FC Lahti 50%, draw 28%, TPS 22%.
How many goals are expected in FC Lahti vs TPS?
The model expects 2.55 goals (FC Lahti 1.57 · TPS 0.97), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Lahti vs TPS?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.