Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 17/10, 13:00
Prediction: FC Ilves vs SJK
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
FC Ilves1.64
SJK1.09
1X2
FC Ilves
Draw
SJK
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Ilves
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
SJK
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Ilves
1–4–1
SJK
(6 last)
- FC Ilves2-2SJK
- SJK1-1FC Ilves
- FC Ilves3-1SJK
- FC Ilves3-3SJK
- SJK2-1FC Ilves
- SJK1-1FC Ilves
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Ilves | SJK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.5 | 2.7 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ilves 1–4–1 SJK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | FC Ilves | 2-2 HT 0-0 | SJK |
| 02/05/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | SJK | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Ilves |
| 18/02/26 Finland Liigacup | FC Ilves | 3-1 HT 2-1 | SJK |
| 03/11/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | FC Ilves | 3-3 HT 1-1 | SJK |
| 04/10/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | SJK | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Ilves |
| 05/07/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | SJK | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FC Ilves |
Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lahti | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 25 | 36 |
| 2 | FC Ilves | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 39 | 35 |
| 3 | TPS | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 28 | 32 |
| 4 | SJK | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 27 |
| 5 | FF Jaro | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 48 | 20 |
| 6 | IFK Mariehamn | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 48 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Ilves | SJK |
|---|---|---|
| IFK Mariehamn | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| TPS | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| FC Lahti | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| FF Jaro | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| HJK Helsinki | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| IF Gnistan | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| AC Oulu | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: SJK (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Ilves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 08/09 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 17/08 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
SJK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 08/09 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 31/08 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 21/08 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 15/08 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/08 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/07 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Ilves vs SJK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Ilves win (49%). Probabilities: FC Ilves 49%, draw 27%, SJK 24%.
How many goals are expected in FC Ilves vs SJK?
The model expects 2.73 goals (FC Ilves 1.64 · SJK 1.09), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Ilves vs SJK?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.