Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 17/10, 13:00
Prediction: FF Jaro vs IFK Mariehamn
Team pages: FF Jaro · IFK Mariehamn
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
FF Jaro1.35
IFK Mariehamn1.23
1X2
FF Jaro
Draw
IFK Mariehamn
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FF Jaro
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
IFK Mariehamn
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FF Jaro
2–2–2
IFK Mariehamn
(6 last)
- IFK Mariehamn2-0FF Jaro
- FF Jaro3-0IFK Mariehamn
- FF Jaro2-3IFK Mariehamn
- FF Jaro1-1IFK Mariehamn
- IFK Mariehamn0-2FF Jaro
- FF Jaro0-0IFK Mariehamn
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FF Jaro | IFK Mariehamn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.4 | 2.5 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FF Jaro 2–2–2 IFK Mariehamn
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | IFK Mariehamn | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FF Jaro |
| 23/05/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | FF Jaro | 3-0 HT 2-0 | IFK Mariehamn |
| 28/09/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | FF Jaro | 2-3 HT 1-1 | IFK Mariehamn |
| 06/07/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | FF Jaro | 1-1 HT 1-0 | IFK Mariehamn |
| 05/04/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | IFK Mariehamn | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FF Jaro |
| 17/09/15 Finland Veikkausliiga | FF Jaro | 0-0 HT 0-0 | IFK Mariehamn |
Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lahti | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 25 | 36 |
| 2 | FC Ilves | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 39 | 35 |
| 3 | TPS | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 28 | 32 |
| 4 | SJK | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 27 |
| 5 | FF Jaro | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 48 | 20 |
| 6 | IFK Mariehamn | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 48 | 18 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FF Jaro | IFK Mariehamn |
|---|---|---|
| TPS | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Lahti | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| SJK | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| FC Ilves | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| AC Oulu | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FF Jaro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 18/09 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 08/09 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/07 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
IFK Mariehamn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 18/09 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 08/09 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
3-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FF Jaro vs IFK Mariehamn?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FF Jaro win (38%). Probabilities: FF Jaro 38%, draw 29%, IFK Mariehamn 33%.
How many goals are expected in FF Jaro vs IFK Mariehamn?
The model expects 2.57 goals (FF Jaro 1.35 · IFK Mariehamn 1.23), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FF Jaro vs IFK Mariehamn?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.