Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: IF Gnistan vs AC Oulu

Team pages: IF Gnistan · AC Oulu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

IF Gnistan1.63

AC Oulu1.14

1X2

48% 27% 25%

IF Gnistan Draw AC Oulu

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

IF Gnistan 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDDWDDLL

AC Oulu 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLLWLW

Head-to-head

IF Gnistan 5–1 AC Oulu (6 last)

AC Oulu1-2IF Gnistan
AC Oulu0-2IF Gnistan
IF Gnistan1-5AC Oulu
IF Gnistan3-2AC Oulu
AC Oulu2-3IF Gnistan
IF Gnistan1-0AC Oulu

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours IF Gnistan: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IF Gnistan	AC Oulu
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.6	2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.87

Under 2.51.96

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:30

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.16 → 2.16	Pinn 2.16
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.50
2	3.31 → 3.31	Pinn 3.31

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
21:46 +164’	2.16	3.50	3.31

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Gnistan 5–0–1 AC Oulu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	1-2 HT 0-0	IF Gnistan
18/07/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	0-2 HT 0-1	IF Gnistan
04/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	IF Gnistan	1-5 HT 1-2	AC Oulu
25/08/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	IF Gnistan	3-2 HT 1-1	AC Oulu
10/05/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	2-3 HT 0-0	IF Gnistan
27/09/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	IF Gnistan	1-0 HT 0-0	AC Oulu

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Inter	28	14	10	4	34	20	52
2	HJK Helsinki	28	15	6	7	53	32	51
3	KuPS Kuopio	27	13	9	5	41	26	48
4	IF Gnistan	28	11	9	8	40	37	42
5	AC Oulu	28	12	4	12	32	34	40
6	VPS Vaasa	27	11	6	10	31	31	39

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IF Gnistan	AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki	0-4 L	3-4 L
VPS Vaasa	0-1 L	0-1 L
FC Inter	0-0 D	2-1 W
KuPS Kuopio	1-1 D	1-0 W
SJK	2-2 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: AC Oulu (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IF Gnistan

DWWDDWDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-4	6	5	L
12/10	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
07/10	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
18/09	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
12/09	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
08/09	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
31/08	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-1	11	3	D
23/08	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	3-2	7	5	W
17/08	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	2-2	3-2	8	4	W
07/08	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	2-1	2-2	2	4	D

AC Oulu

LLWDLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
12/10	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	3-4	6	4	L
08/10	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
18/09	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
12/09	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
08/09	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
31/08	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
22/08	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
16/08	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	2-3	3	3	L
09/08	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IF Gnistan vs AC Oulu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IF Gnistan win (48%). Probabilities: IF Gnistan 48%, draw 27%, AC Oulu 25%.

How many goals are expected in IF Gnistan vs AC Oulu?

The model expects 2.77 goals (IF Gnistan 1.63 · AC Oulu 1.14), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in IF Gnistan vs AC Oulu?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.