Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: VPS Vaasa vs FC Inter

Team pages: VPS Vaasa · FC Inter

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.16Total

VPS Vaasa0.73

FC Inter1.43

1X2

19% 27% 54%

VPS Vaasa Draw FC Inter

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

VPS Vaasa 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLLLWL

FC Inter 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWLWWDWL

Head-to-head

VPS Vaasa 0–1–5 FC Inter (6 last)

FC Inter1-0VPS Vaasa
VPS Vaasa0-1FC Inter
VPS Vaasa2-3FC Inter
FC Inter0-0VPS Vaasa
FC Inter2-1VPS Vaasa
VPS Vaasa0-2FC Inter

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VPS Vaasa 1449 · FC Inter 1545

	VPS Vaasa	Draw	FC Inter
Our model	18%	30%	53%
Market	20%	25%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Inter (rating 1449 vs 1545).
H2H favours FC Inter: 5-1-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VPS Vaasa	FC Inter
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.6	0.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	0.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.9	2.7 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.50

X3.70

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.88

2 (-0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.82 ★
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.80
2	1.65 → 1.67▲	Pinn 1.71

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:07 +2’	4.50	3.70	1.65
20:00 +16’	4.50	3.70	1.67▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:14 +30’	4.68	3.79	1.70
15:15 +98’	4.76▲	3.84▲	1.71▲
17:06 +69’	4.91▲	3.90▲	1.68▼
19:08 +7’	4.92▲	3.85▼	1.69▲
13:16 +56’	5.02▲	3.89▲	1.67▼
20:05 +18’	4.92▼	3.84▼	1.69▲
01:04 +4’	4.82▼	3.80▼	1.71▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · VPS Vaasa 0–1–5 FC Inter

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/09/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Inter	1-0 HT 0-0	VPS Vaasa
02/08/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	VPS Vaasa	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Inter
30/06/26 Finland Cup	VPS Vaasa	2-3 HT 1-0	FC Inter
04/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Inter	0-0 HT 0-0	VPS Vaasa
31/08/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Inter	2-1 HT 0-0	VPS Vaasa
19/04/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	VPS Vaasa	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Inter

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Inter	28	14	10	4	34	20	52
2	HJK Helsinki	28	15	6	7	53	32	51
3	KuPS Kuopio	28	14	9	5	43	26	51
4	IF Gnistan	28	11	9	8	40	37	42
5	AC Oulu	28	12	4	12	32	34	40
6	VPS Vaasa	28	11	6	11	31	33	39

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VPS Vaasa	FC Inter
KuPS Kuopio	0-2 L	1-0 W
IF Gnistan	1-0 W	0-0 D
HJK Helsinki	0-6 L	1-2 L
AC Oulu	1-0 W	1-2 L
FC Lahti	0-1 L	0-0 D
TPS	1-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Inter (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VPS Vaasa

WLWLWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	0-2	5	5	L
12/10	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
08/10	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-3	0-6	6	3	L
19/09	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	0-2	10	6	L
14/09	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
08/09	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
31/08	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
22/08	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
14/08	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	1-3	7	5	L
08/08	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	2-1	3-1	6	4	W

FC Inter

DWDWLWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-2	8	2	L
11/10	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
07/10	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
18/09	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
14/09	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
09/09	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
31/08	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
23/08	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	14	4	D
16/08	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	3-2	2	3	W
09/08	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	9	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VPS Vaasa vs FC Inter?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Inter win (54%). Probabilities: VPS Vaasa 19%, draw 27%, FC Inter 54%.

How many goals are expected in VPS Vaasa vs FC Inter?

The model expects 2.16 goals (VPS Vaasa 0.73 · FC Inter 1.43), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in VPS Vaasa vs FC Inter?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.