Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 11/10, 14:00

Prediction: FC Inter vs KuPS Kuopio

Team pages: FC Inter · KuPS Kuopio

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.13Total

FC Inter1.21

KuPS Kuopio0.92

1X2

42% 30% 28%

FC Inter Draw KuPS Kuopio

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Inter 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWDWLWWD

KuPS Kuopio 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWLLDDWL

Head-to-head

FC Inter 1–2–3 KuPS Kuopio (6 last)

FC Inter1-0KuPS Kuopio
KuPS Kuopio1-1FC Inter
KuPS Kuopio3-2FC Inter
FC Inter0-3KuPS Kuopio
KuPS Kuopio2-1FC Inter
FC Inter1-1KuPS Kuopio

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Inter 1561 · KuPS Kuopio 1516

	FC Inter	Draw	KuPS Kuopio
Our model	41%	32%	27%
Market	43%	29%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Inter (rating 1561 vs 1516).
H2H favours KuPS Kuopio: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Inter	KuPS Kuopio
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.6	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.3	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.29
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.30 → 3.25▼	Pinn 3.56 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.5% Pinnacle margin 3.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:19 +9’	2.10	3.20	3.30
11:05 +5’	2.15▲	3.20	3.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:28 +79’	2.13	3.21	3.72
15:39 +229’	2.19▲	3.19▼	3.57▼
22:59 +54’	2.19	3.16▼	3.59▲
11:13 +15’	2.20▲	3.16	3.59
16:05 +8’	2.20	3.23▲	3.63▲
19:33 +72’	2.21▲	3.22▼	3.63
00:03 +28’	2.22▲	3.17▼	3.65▲
02:29 +32’	2.23▲	3.18▲	3.68▲
06:59 +6’	2.19▼	3.20▲	3.80▲
07:25 +42’	2.19	3.19▼	3.79▼
08:12 +58’	2.18▼	3.22▲	3.78▼
10:03 +4’	2.22▲	3.20▼	3.69▼
11:03 +7’	2.27▲	3.18▼	3.60▼
12:02 +18’	2.29▲	3.17▼	3.56▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Inter 1–2–3 KuPS Kuopio

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/08/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Inter	1-0 HT 0-0	KuPS Kuopio
30/05/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	KuPS Kuopio	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Inter
02/11/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	KuPS Kuopio	3-2 HT 1-1	FC Inter
05/10/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Inter	0-3 HT 0-0	KuPS Kuopio
17/08/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	KuPS Kuopio	2-1 HT 0-0	FC Inter
05/04/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Inter	1-1 HT 0-0	KuPS Kuopio

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Inter	26	13	10	3	32	18	49
2	KuPS Kuopio	26	13	9	4	41	25	48
3	HJK Helsinki	26	13	6	7	45	29	45
4	IF Gnistan	26	11	9	6	40	32	42
5	AC Oulu	26	11	4	11	27	29	37
6	VPS Vaasa	26	10	6	10	30	31	36

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Inter	KuPS Kuopio
IF Gnistan	0-0 D	1-1 D
AC Oulu	1-0 W	0-1 L
VPS Vaasa	1-0 W	2-0 W
HJK Helsinki	1-2 L	0-0 D
TPS	0-0 D	1-1 D
FC Lahti	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KuPS Kuopio (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Inter

LWDWDWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
18/09	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
14/09	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
09/09	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
31/08	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
23/08	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	14	4	D
16/08	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	3-2	2	3	W
09/08	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
02/08	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
26/07	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	1-2	4	2	L

KuPS Kuopio

WWDWLLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
19/09	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
13/09	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
08/09	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
31/08	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
23/08	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	1-3	2-4	10	3	L
16/08	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	2-1	2-1	4	4	W
09/08	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
01/08	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
25/07	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	3-0	3-1	1	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Inter vs KuPS Kuopio?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Inter win (42%). Probabilities: FC Inter 42%, draw 30%, KuPS Kuopio 28%.

How many goals are expected in FC Inter vs KuPS Kuopio?

The model expects 2.13 goals (FC Inter 1.21 · KuPS Kuopio 0.92), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Inter vs KuPS Kuopio?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.