Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 08/09, 17:00

Prediction: VPS Vaasa vs AC Oulu

Team pages: VPS Vaasa · AC Oulu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

VPS Vaasa1.43

AC Oulu1.17

1X2

42% 29% 30%

VPS Vaasa Draw AC Oulu

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

VPS Vaasa 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLWLWL

AC Oulu 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLDWLLWD

Head-to-head

VPS Vaasa 2–4 AC Oulu (6 last)

VPS Vaasa5-1AC Oulu
AC Oulu1-0VPS Vaasa
VPS Vaasa1-4AC Oulu
AC Oulu2-0VPS Vaasa
AC Oulu2-1VPS Vaasa
VPS Vaasa4-3AC Oulu

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours AC Oulu: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VPS Vaasa	AC Oulu
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	0.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.4	2.8 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.03

Under 2.51.81

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:41

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.09 → 2.09	Pinn 2.09
X	3.39 → 3.39	Pinn 3.39
2	3.61 → 3.61	Pinn 3.61

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
23:41	2.09	3.39	3.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · VPS Vaasa 2–0–4 AC Oulu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/06/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	VPS Vaasa	5-1 HT 3-1	AC Oulu
18/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	1-0 HT 0-0	VPS Vaasa
24/01/26 Finland Liigacup	VPS Vaasa	1-4 HT 1-1	AC Oulu
04/10/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	2-0 HT 1-0	VPS Vaasa
28/06/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	2-1 HT 1-1	VPS Vaasa
05/04/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	VPS Vaasa	4-3 HT 0-2	AC Oulu

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	22	12	7	3	38	23	43
2	FC Inter	22	11	9	2	29	16	42
3	HJK Helsinki	22	11	4	7	36	27	37
4	IF Gnistan	22	10	6	6	36	29	36
5	AC Oulu	22	10	4	8	25	25	34
6	VPS Vaasa	22	9	6	7	29	22	33

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VPS Vaasa	AC Oulu
FC Lahti	0-1 L	1-1 D
FC Ilves	1-0 W	1-0 W
TPS	1-3 L	0-3 L
FF Jaro	3-1 W	1-0 W
FC Inter	0-1 L	2-3 L
HJK Helsinki	1-2 L	0-1 L
SJK	1-0 W	0-0 D
IFK Mariehamn	4-0 W	1-1 D
IF Gnistan	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: VPS Vaasa (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VPS Vaasa

DWWLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
22/08	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
14/08	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	1-3	7	6	L
08/08	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	2-1	3-1	6	4	W
02/08	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
25/07	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-3	1-3	4	2	L
18/07	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
10/07	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
04/07	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	4-0	4	0	W
27/06	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	1-1	1-1	4	2	D

AC Oulu

LDLLDWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
22/08	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
16/08	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	2-3	3	3	L
09/08	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
02/08	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
25/07	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-1	9	5	D
18/07	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-2	10	5	L
11/07	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-3	0-3	9	2	L
27/06	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
23/06	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	1-3	1-5	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VPS Vaasa vs AC Oulu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VPS Vaasa win (42%). Probabilities: VPS Vaasa 42%, draw 29%, AC Oulu 30%.

How many goals are expected in VPS Vaasa vs AC Oulu?

The model expects 2.6 goals (VPS Vaasa 1.43 · AC Oulu 1.17), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in VPS Vaasa vs AC Oulu?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.