Football · Northern Ireland Championship Women · 02/09, 20:30
Prediction: Ballymoney United (W) vs Strabane Athletic (W)
Team pages: Ballymoney United (W) · Strabane Athletic (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.3Total
Ballymoney United (W)2.79
Strabane Athletic (W)1.51
1X2
Ballymoney United (W)
Draw
Strabane Athletic (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Ballymoney United (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Strabane Athletic (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ballymoney United (W)
1–0
Strabane Athletic (W)
(1 last)
- Strabane Athletic (W)0-2Ballymoney United (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ballymoney United (W) 1481 · Strabane Athletic (W) 1436
| Ballymoney United (W) | Draw | Strabane Athletic (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| Market | 63% | 18% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.3 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ballymoney United (W) (rating 1481 vs 1436).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ballymoney United (W) | Strabane Athletic (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.5 | 1.9 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.4 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.2 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ballymoney United (W) 1–0–0 Strabane Athletic (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/26 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Strabane Athletic (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Ballymoney United (W) |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ballymoney United (W) | Strabane Athletic (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ballyclare Comrades (W) | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Mid Ulster (W) | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| St. James Swifts (W) | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Greenisland (W) | 1-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Bangor FC (W) | 1-6 L | 3-5 L |
| Craigavon City (W) | 2-1 W | 6-0 W |
| Ballymena Utd (W) | 4-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ballymoney United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/07 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/07 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 01/07 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-6 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 26/06 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/06 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/04 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-2 | 6-3 | 3 | 2 | W |
Strabane Athletic (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 05/08 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/07 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-4 | 1-9 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 22/07 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 08/07 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
4-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 17/06 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 03/06 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 20/05 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ballymoney United (W) vs Strabane Athletic (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ballymoney United (W) win (63%). Probabilities: Ballymoney United (W) 63%, draw 18%, Strabane Athletic (W) 18%.
How many goals are expected in Ballymoney United (W) vs Strabane Athletic (W)?
The model expects 4.3 goals (Ballymoney United (W) 2.79 · Strabane Athletic (W) 1.51), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Ballymoney United (W) vs Strabane Athletic (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.