Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 06/09, 21:30

Prediction: Mineros vs Atletico Avila

Team pages: Mineros · Atletico Avila

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.09Total

Mineros1.31

Atletico Avila0.78

1X2

49% 29% 22%

Mineros Draw Atletico Avila

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Mineros 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLDWDLLD

Atletico Avila 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

DDLDDLDLLL

Head-to-head

Mineros 0–2–0 Atletico Avila (2 last)

Atletico Avila1-1Mineros
Mineros0-0Atletico Avila

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mineros 1462 · Atletico Avila 1434

	Mineros	Draw	Atletico Avila
Our model	48%	31%	21%
Market	50%	27%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mineros	Atletico Avila
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.6	0.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.6	1.8 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 0.3	5.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.25

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
20:20 +19’	1.80	3.25	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mineros 0–2–0 Atletico Avila

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Atletico Avila	1-1 HT 1-0	Mineros
11/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Mineros	0-0 HT 0-0	Atletico Avila

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Monagas II	19	10	5	4	30	20	35
2	Deportivo Miranda FC	19	10	5	4	21	14	35
3	Bolivar SC	19	9	3	7	21	20	30
4	Aragua	19	7	7	5	17	13	28
5	Dynamo Puerto FC	20	6	7	7	22	22	25
6	CS Maritimo de La Guaira	14	5	5	4	16	13	20
7	Atletico Avila	19	1	10	8	9	22	13
8	Mineros	19	1	8	10	16	28	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mineros	Atletico Avila
Aragua	1-1 D	0-0 D
Deportivo Miranda FC	3-4 L	0-1 L
Monagas II	1-2 L	0-3 L
Dynamo Puerto FC	0-0 D	0-3 L
Bolivar SC	2-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Mineros (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mineros

DLLLDWDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-1	1	9	D
16/08	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	3-4	7	9	L
09/08	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-2	2	7	L
02/08	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
26/07	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
07/06	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
30/05	CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	3	9	L
23/05	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	0-2	5	7	L
16/05	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
09/05	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-2	1	5	D

Atletico Avila

DDLDDLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	1	5	L
23/08	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-3	9	5	L
16/08	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-3	2	8	L
09/08	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
02/08	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	2	10	L
07/06	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
31/05	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
22/05	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
17/05	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
09/05	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	1-1	1	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mineros vs Atletico Avila?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mineros win (49%). Probabilities: Mineros 49%, draw 29%, Atletico Avila 22%.

How many goals are expected in Mineros vs Atletico Avila?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Mineros 1.31 · Atletico Avila 0.78), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Mineros vs Atletico Avila?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.