Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 13/09, 21:30

Prediction: Aragua vs Deportivo Miranda FC

Team pages: Aragua · Deportivo Miranda FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.1Total

Aragua1.18

Deportivo Miranda FC0.92

1X2

42% 30% 28%

Aragua Draw Deportivo Miranda FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Aragua 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLLWDDWD

Deportivo Miranda FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWWWDL

Head-to-head

Aragua 2–1–3 Deportivo Miranda FC (6 last)

Deportivo Miranda FC2-1Aragua
Aragua1-0Deportivo Miranda FC
Deportivo Miranda FC1-0Aragua
Deportivo Miranda FC2-1Aragua
Aragua0-0Deportivo Miranda FC
Aragua1-0Deportivo Miranda FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aragua 1513 · Deportivo Miranda FC 1501

	Aragua	Draw	Deportivo Miranda FC
Our model	41%	32%	27%
Market	42%	29%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Miranda FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 12.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aragua	Deportivo Miranda FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.8	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.2	1.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.1	6.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.10

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:00 +1’	2.10	3.10	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Aragua 2–1–3 Deportivo Miranda FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Deportivo Miranda FC	2-1 HT 2-0	Aragua
25/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Aragua	1-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Miranda FC
01/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Deportivo Miranda FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Aragua
19/10/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Deportivo Miranda FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Aragua
12/10/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Aragua	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Miranda FC
03/09/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Aragua	1-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Miranda FC

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Monagas II	20	10	6	4	32	22	36
2	Deportivo Miranda FC	20	10	5	5	22	16	35
3	Bolivar SC	20	10	3	7	23	21	33
4	Aragua	20	7	8	5	19	15	29
5	Dynamo Puerto FC	20	6	7	7	22	22	25
6	CS Maritimo de La Guaira	14	5	5	4	16	13	20
7	Mineros	20	2	8	10	18	28	14
8	Atletico Avila	20	1	10	9	9	24	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aragua	Deportivo Miranda FC
Monagas II	2-2 D	1-1 D
Dynamo Puerto FC	2-0 W	3-1 W
Mineros	1-1 D	4-3 W
Atletico Avila	0-0 D	1-0 W
Bolivar SC	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Miranda FC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aragua

DWWLLWDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	2-2	2	4	D
29/08	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	13	5	W
23/08	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-1	4	9	D
09/08	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	11	3	D
01/08	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
26/07	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	1-2	6	6	L
06/06	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	4	8	L
31/05	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
23/05	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	2-0	4	7	W
16/05	CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	0	9	D

Deportivo Miranda FC

WDLLWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	8	7	L
30/08	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
23/08	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	3-0	3-1	0	7	W
16/08	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	4-3	4	9	W
02/08	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	12	10	W
26/07	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	2-1	2	6	W
06/06	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
31/05	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	4	7	L
24/05	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	1-1	4	11	D
16/05	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aragua vs Deportivo Miranda FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aragua win (42%). Probabilities: Aragua 42%, draw 30%, Deportivo Miranda FC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Aragua vs Deportivo Miranda FC?

The model expects 2.1 goals (Aragua 1.18 · Deportivo Miranda FC 0.92), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Aragua vs Deportivo Miranda FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.