Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 13/09, 21:30
Prediction: Monagas II vs Dynamo Puerto FC
Team pages: Monagas II · Dynamo Puerto FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Monagas II1.89
Dynamo Puerto FC1.22
1X2
Monagas II
Draw
Dynamo Puerto FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Monagas II
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Dynamo Puerto FC
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Monagas II
3–1–2
Dynamo Puerto FC
(6 last)
- Dynamo Puerto FC2-2Monagas II
- Monagas II3-2Dynamo Puerto FC
- Dynamo Puerto FC2-1Monagas II
- Dynamo Puerto FC2-1Monagas II
- Monagas II2-1Dynamo Puerto FC
- Dynamo Puerto FC0-1Monagas II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Monagas II 1542 · Dynamo Puerto FC 1416
| Monagas II | Draw | Dynamo Puerto FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 24% | 23% |
| Market | 51% | 27% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monagas II (rating 1542 vs 1416).
- H2H favours Monagas II: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 12.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monagas II | Dynamo Puerto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 1.6 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.4 | 6.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Monagas II 3–1–2 Dynamo Puerto FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Dynamo Puerto FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Monagas II |
| 26/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Monagas II | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Dynamo Puerto FC |
| 01/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Dynamo Puerto FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Monagas II |
| 03/09/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Dynamo Puerto FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Monagas II |
| 20/07/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Monagas II | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Dynamo Puerto FC |
| 18/05/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Dynamo Puerto FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Monagas II |
Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-East
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas II | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 36 |
| 2 | Deportivo Miranda FC | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 16 | 35 |
| 3 | Bolivar SC | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 33 |
| 4 | Aragua | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 29 |
| 5 | Dynamo Puerto FC | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 25 |
| 6 | CS Maritimo de La Guaira | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 20 |
| 7 | Mineros | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 14 |
| 8 | Atletico Avila | 20 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 13 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Monagas II | Dynamo Puerto FC |
|---|---|---|
| Aragua | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo Miranda FC | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Atletico Avila | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Bolivar SC | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Mineros | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Monagas II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monagas II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 26/07 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 06/06 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 22/05 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
Dynamo Puerto FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/08 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 06/06 | CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 31/05 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 11 | D |
| 17/05 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Monagas II vs Dynamo Puerto FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Monagas II win (51%). Probabilities: Monagas II 51%, draw 26%, Dynamo Puerto FC 23%.
How many goals are expected in Monagas II vs Dynamo Puerto FC?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Monagas II 1.89 · Dynamo Puerto FC 1.22), with a 60% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Monagas II vs Dynamo Puerto FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.