Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 16/09, 21:30

Prediction: Zamora II vs Barquisimeto

Team pages: Zamora II · Barquisimeto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Zamora II1.48

Barquisimeto1.46

1X2

37% 27% 36%

Zamora II Draw Barquisimeto

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Zamora II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDWLLLWW

Barquisimeto 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWLDLWD

Head-to-head

Zamora II 0–2–1 Barquisimeto (3 last)

Barquisimeto2-1Zamora II
Zamora II0-0Barquisimeto
Barquisimeto1-1Zamora II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zamora II 1508 · Barquisimeto 1499

	Zamora II	Draw	Barquisimeto
Our model	37%	27%	36%
Market	37%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zamora II	Barquisimeto
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	2.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.8	1.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.6	5.1 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.40

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.30 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40
2	2.50 → 2.45▼	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:07 +3’	2.40	3.30	2.50
10:48 +10’	2.40	3.40▲	2.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Zamora II 0–2–1 Barquisimeto

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/07/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Barquisimeto	2-1 HT 1-0	Zamora II
25/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Zamora II	0-0 HT 0-0	Barquisimeto
28/02/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Barquisimeto	1-1 HT 1-0	Zamora II

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Lara	25	16	6	3	42	20	54
2	Barquisimeto	25	12	8	5	43	27	44
3	Urena SC	25	11	9	5	38	26	42
4	Yaracuyanos	25	10	7	8	31	26	37
5	Zamora II	24	9	7	8	37	33	34
6	Academia Puerto Cabello II	25	8	6	11	31	33	30
7	Atletico El Vigia	25	8	6	11	28	40	30
8	Atletico Barinas	25	8	3	14	44	54	27
9	Real Frontera	25	3	2	20	20	55	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zamora II	Barquisimeto
Academia Puerto Cabello II	3-0 W	1-1 D
Real Frontera	2-0 W	5-1 W
CD Lara	0-2 L	1-2 L
Yaracuyanos	1-2 L	0-0 D
Atletico El Vigia	0-2 L	2-5 L
Atletico Barinas	3-2 W	5-1 W
Urena SC	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Barquisimeto (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zamora II

WWLDWLLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	3-0	8	2	W
02/09	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
29/08	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
22/08	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
15/08	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
09/08	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	3-1	3-2	4	4	W
03/08	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	2-1	2-2	9	9	D
29/07	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	4	9	L
05/06	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-1	2	8	W
30/05	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	9	1	W

Barquisimeto

WDWDWLDLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
05/09	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	4-0	5-1	6	4	W
03/09	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
30/08	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
23/08	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	1-2	2-5	4	2	L
15/08	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	5-1	3	3	W
09/08	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	2	8	D
29/07	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	1	9	W
25/07	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	2-2	2	9	D
06/06	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-1	10	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zamora II vs Barquisimeto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zamora II win (37%). Probabilities: Zamora II 37%, draw 27%, Barquisimeto 36%.

How many goals are expected in Zamora II vs Barquisimeto?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Zamora II 1.48 · Barquisimeto 1.46), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Zamora II vs Barquisimeto?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.