Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 06/09, 21:30

Prediction: Deportivo Miranda FC vs Bolivar SC

Team pages: Deportivo Miranda FC · Bolivar SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

Deportivo Miranda FC1.52

Bolivar SC0.99

1X2

48% 28% 24%

Deportivo Miranda FC Draw Bolivar SC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Miranda FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLLWWWWD

Bolivar SC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLLWWW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Miranda FC 4–1–1 Bolivar SC (6 last)

Bolivar SC2-0Deportivo Miranda FC
Deportivo Miranda FC1-0Bolivar SC
Deportivo Miranda FC3-2Bolivar SC
Bolivar SC0-2Deportivo Miranda FC
Deportivo Miranda FC2-0Bolivar SC
Bolivar SC1-1Deportivo Miranda FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Miranda FC 1545 · Bolivar SC 1470

	Deportivo Miranda FC	Draw	Bolivar SC
Our model	48%	28%	23%
Market	48%	28%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Miranda FC (rating 1545 vs 1470).
H2H favours Deportivo Miranda FC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Miranda FC	Bolivar SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.1	1.7 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.5 / 0.4	5.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.20

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.05

Under 2.251.75

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:35 +4’	1.85	3.20	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Miranda FC 4–1–1 Bolivar SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Bolivar SC	2-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Miranda FC
12/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Deportivo Miranda FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Bolivar SC
04/10/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Deportivo Miranda FC	3-2 HT 0-0	Bolivar SC
24/08/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Bolivar SC	0-2 HT 0-1	Deportivo Miranda FC
29/06/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Deportivo Miranda FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Bolivar SC
10/05/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Bolivar SC	1-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Miranda FC

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Monagas II	19	10	5	4	30	20	35
2	Deportivo Miranda FC	19	10	5	4	21	14	35
3	Bolivar SC	19	9	3	7	21	20	30
4	Aragua	19	7	7	5	17	13	28
5	Dynamo Puerto FC	20	6	7	7	22	22	25
6	CS Maritimo de La Guaira	14	5	5	4	16	13	20
7	Atletico Avila	19	1	10	8	9	22	13
8	Mineros	19	1	8	10	16	28	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Miranda FC	Bolivar SC
Monagas II	1-1 D	3-2 W
Dynamo Puerto FC	3-1 W	1-0 W
Mineros	4-3 W	1-2 L
Atletico Avila	1-0 W	2-1 W
Aragua	2-1 W	0-1 L
CS Maritimo de La Guaira	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Miranda FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Miranda FC

WWDLLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
23/08	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	3-0	3-1	0	7	W
16/08	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	4-3	4	9	W
02/08	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	12	10	W
26/07	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	2-1	2	6	W
06/06	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
31/05	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	4	7	L
24/05	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	1-1	4	11	D
16/05	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
10/05	CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-0	3	5	W

Bolivar SC

LWLDWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
16/08	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-2	3-2	4	6	W
09/08	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
01/08	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
26/07	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
06/06	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
31/05	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
23/05	CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
17/05	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	2-1	2	9	W
10/05	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	2	10	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Miranda FC vs Bolivar SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Miranda FC win (48%). Probabilities: Deportivo Miranda FC 48%, draw 28%, Bolivar SC 24%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Miranda FC vs Bolivar SC?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Deportivo Miranda FC 1.52 · Bolivar SC 0.99), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Miranda FC vs Bolivar SC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.