Football · Bulgaria First League · 16/09, 18:00
Prediction: Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
Team pages: Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia · CSKA Sofia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia1.19
CSKA Sofia1.59
1X2
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Draw
CSKA Sofia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
CSKA Sofia
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
0–1–5
CSKA Sofia
(6 last)
- CSKA Sofia2-0Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
- CSKA Sofia2-1Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
- Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia1-1CSKA Sofia
- CSKA Sofia1-0Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
- Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia0-3CSKA Sofia
- Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia0-1CSKA Sofia
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSKA Sofia (rating 1446 vs 1562).
- H2H favours CSKA Sofia: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | CSKA Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.9 | 2.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.9 | 3.2 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 0–1–5 CSKA Sofia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Bulgaria First League | CSKA Sofia | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia |
| 13/12/25 Bulgaria Cup | CSKA Sofia | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia |
| 27/09/25 Bulgaria First League | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CSKA Sofia |
| 02/04/25 Bulgaria First League | CSKA Sofia | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia |
| 16/09/24 Bulgaria First League | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 0-3 HT 0-2 | CSKA Sofia |
| 30/03/24 Bulgaria First League | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CSKA Sofia |
Standings · Bulgaria First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
| 2 | Ludogorets Razgrad | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Slavia Sofia | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Botev Plovdiv | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 9 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 8 |
| 10 | Botev Vratsa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 7 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
| 12 | Cherno More Varna | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 5 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 4 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Cherno More Varna | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Ludogorets Razgrad | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Dunav Ruse | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Arda Kardzhali | 1-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Slavia Sofia | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Levski Sofia | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Botev Plovdiv | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Spartak Varna | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: CSKA Sofia (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 06/09 | Ludogorets Razgrad Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 31/08 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Levski Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 21/07 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
CSKA Sofia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 16/08 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 17 | 5 | W |
| 20/07 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 25/05 | Ludogorets Razgrad Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Levski Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CSKA Sofia win (46%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 27%, draw 27%, CSKA Sofia 46%.
How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 1.19 · CSKA Sofia 1.59), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.