Prediction: Cumbaya vs Gualaceo SC

Team pages: Cumbaya · Gualaceo SC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.83Total
Cumbaya0.99
Gualaceo SC0.84
1X2
37% 33% 29%
Cumbaya Draw Gualaceo SC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Cumbaya 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
WWDDDDDLDL
Gualaceo SC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWDLDLLDWW
Head-to-head
Cumbaya 2–1–3 Gualaceo SC (6 last)
  • Gualaceo SC1-0Cumbaya
  • Cumbaya1-1Gualaceo SC
  • Gualaceo SC2-0Cumbaya
  • Cumbaya0-2Gualaceo SC
  • Gualaceo SC0-3Cumbaya
  • Cumbaya1-0Gualaceo SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cumbaya 1489 · Gualaceo SC 1515
CumbayaDrawGualaceo SC
Our model37%35%28%
Market38%32%30%
Estimated total (ours) 1.83 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Gualaceo SC: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CumbayaGualaceo SC
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.81.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%38/50/13%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.22.5 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.35.4 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cumbaya 213 Gualaceo SC

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/06/26
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
Gualaceo SC1-0
HT 1-0
Cumbaya
08/04/26
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
Cumbaya1-1Gualaceo SC
08/07/25
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
Gualaceo SC2-0
HT 0-0
Cumbaya
30/04/25
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
Cumbaya0-2
HT 0-1
Gualaceo SC
19/09/23
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Gualaceo SC0-3
HT 0-0
Cumbaya
16/04/23
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Cumbaya1-0
HT 1-0
Gualaceo SC

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Relegation Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CD Vargas Torres 248106 221731
2 LDU Portoviejo 24879 192231
3 Gualaceo SC 24987 251629
4 Cumbaya 245127 232427
5 El Nacional 242616 15379
6 22 de Julio 244317 10379

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCumbayaGualaceo SC
Atletico FC Guayaquil 0-3 L 0-0 D
CD Cuenca Jrs 0-0 D 3-0 W
San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0-0 D 1-2 L
Club 9 de Octubre 0-0 D 0-0 D
El Nacional 1-0 W 3-0 W
22 de Julio 4-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Gualaceo SC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cumbaya

WWDDDDDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/09 CD Vargas Torres
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-2 26 L
26/08 LDU Portoviejo
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 75 D
20/08 Atletico FC Guayaquil
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-3 0-3 53 L
13/08 CD Vargas Torres
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
2-1 3-3 34 D
08/08 LDU Portoviejo
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 48 D
30/07 CD Cuenca Jrs
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 66 D
22/07 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 55 D
16/07 Club 9 de Octubre
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 74 D
08/07 El Nacional
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-0 43 W
02/07 22 de Julio
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 4-0 94 W

Gualaceo SC

WWDLDLLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 El Nacional
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 3-0 57 W
20/08 CD Cuenca Jrs
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 3-0 27 W
15/08 Atletico FC Guayaquil
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 116 D
06/08 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-2 L
01/08 Independiente Juniors
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-1 2-3 57 L
24/07 El Nacional
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 63 D
18/07 22 de Julio
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 L
11/07 Club 9 de Octubre
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 84 D
01/07 Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 2-1 04 W
10/06 Cumbaya
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 1-0 57 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cumbaya vs Gualaceo SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cumbaya win (37%). Probabilities: Cumbaya 37%, draw 33%, Gualaceo SC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Cumbaya vs Gualaceo SC?

The model expects 1.83 goals (Cumbaya 0.99 · Gualaceo SC 0.84), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cumbaya vs Gualaceo SC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.