Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 17/09, 22:15
Prediction: Vinotinto Ecuador vs Club 9 de Octubre
Team pages: Vinotinto Ecuador · Club 9 de Octubre
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.94Total
Vinotinto Ecuador1.09
Club 9 de Octubre0.85
1X2
Vinotinto Ecuador
Draw
Club 9 de Octubre
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Vinotinto Ecuador
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Club 9 de Octubre
2-7-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vinotinto Ecuador
2–4
Club 9 de Octubre
(6 last)
- Club 9 de Octubre2-1Vinotinto Ecuador
- Vinotinto Ecuador0-1Club 9 de Octubre
- Vinotinto Ecuador5-2Club 9 de Octubre
- Club 9 de Octubre3-2Vinotinto Ecuador
- Vinotinto Ecuador3-1Club 9 de Octubre
- Club 9 de Octubre1-0Vinotinto Ecuador
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vinotinto Ecuador 1527 · Club 9 de Octubre 1538
| Vinotinto Ecuador | Draw | Club 9 de Octubre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 34% | 27% |
| Market | 41% | 31% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.94 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Club 9 de Octubre: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vinotinto Ecuador | Club 9 de Octubre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/38/13% | 11/67/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6 | 1.9 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 6 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vinotinto Ecuador 2–0–4 Club 9 de Octubre
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Vinotinto Ecuador |
| 08/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Vinotinto Ecuador | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 16/10/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Vinotinto Ecuador | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 01/09/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Vinotinto Ecuador |
| 06/06/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Vinotinto Ecuador | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 10/04/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Vinotinto Ecuador |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Juniors | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 25 | 10 | 12 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 42 |
| 3 | Club 9 de Octubre | 25 | 10 | 12 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 42 |
| 4 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 19 | 40 |
| 5 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 27 | 35 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 28 | 32 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vinotinto Ecuador | Club 9 de Octubre |
|---|---|---|
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 4-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| CD Vargas Torres | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Independiente Juniors | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| El Nacional | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| 22 de Julio | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Vinotinto Ecuador (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vinotinto Ecuador
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 03/09 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 4-2 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 27/08 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 13/08 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 23/07 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 15/07 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 11/07 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Club 9 de Octubre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/09 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 13 | D |
| 28/08 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 20/08 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/08 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 30/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 16/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vinotinto Ecuador vs Club 9 de Octubre?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vinotinto Ecuador win (40%). Probabilities: Vinotinto Ecuador 40%, draw 32%, Club 9 de Octubre 27%.
How many goals are expected in Vinotinto Ecuador vs Club 9 de Octubre?
The model expects 1.94 goals (Vinotinto Ecuador 1.09 · Club 9 de Octubre 0.85), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Vinotinto Ecuador vs Club 9 de Octubre?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.