Prediction: Deportivo Santo Domingo vs El Nacional

Team pages: Deportivo Santo Domingo · El Nacional

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
Deportivo Santo Domingo1.49
El Nacional0.54
1X2
61% 26% 13%
Deportivo Santo Domingo Draw El Nacional
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Santo Domingo 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DLLDWDDWWL
El Nacional 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLDWWLDLLW
Head-to-head
Deportivo Santo Domingo 0–2–0 El Nacional (2 last)
  • El Nacional0-0CD Vargas Torres
  • CD Vargas Torres1-1El Nacional
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Santo Domingo 1508 · El Nacional 1471
Deportivo Santo DomingoDrawEl Nacional
Our model60%28%12%
Market62%24%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportivo Santo DomingoEl Nacional
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.80.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.60.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/44/44%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 41.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.24.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Santo Domingo 020 El Nacional

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/06/26
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
El Nacional0-0
HT 0-0
CD Vargas Torres
10/04/26
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
CD Vargas Torres1-1El Nacional

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Relegation Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 LDU Portoviejo 25979 202234
2 Gualaceo SC 251087 261632
3 CD Vargas Torres 258107 221831
4 Cumbaya 255128 232527
5 El Nacional 253616 183712
6 22 de Julio 254318 10409

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeportivo Santo DomingoEl Nacional
LDU Portoviejo 0-1 L 0-2 L
Cumbaya 2-1 W 0-1 L
22 de Julio 3-0 W 3-0 W
Vinotinto Ecuador 0-0 D 1-2 L
Club 9 de Octubre 0-0 D 1-0 W
San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1-1 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Santo Domingo (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Santo Domingo

DLLDWDDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/09 LDU Portoviejo
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-1 23 L
04/09 Cumbaya
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 2-1 46 W
27/08 22 de Julio
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 3-0 32 W
22/08 Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 D
13/08 Cumbaya
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-2 3-3 24 D
06/08 Atletico FC Guayaquil
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-0 24 W
30/07 Club 9 de Octubre
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 36 D
25/07 LDU Portoviejo
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-1 18 L
17/07 CD Cuenca Jrs
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-1 114 L
11/07 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 1-1 82 D

El Nacional

LLDWWLDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 22 de Julio
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 3-0 54 W
05/09 LDU Portoviejo
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-2 43 L
29/08 Gualaceo SC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-3 47 L
20/08 Independiente Juniors
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 1-1 44 D
13/08 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-1 93 L
06/08 Club 9 de Octubre
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-0 28 W
31/07 22 de Julio
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 3-1 46 W
24/07 Gualaceo SC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 33 D
15/07 Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 1-2 36 L
08/07 Cumbaya
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-1 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Santo Domingo vs El Nacional?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Santo Domingo win (61%). Probabilities: Deportivo Santo Domingo 61%, draw 26%, El Nacional 13%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Santo Domingo vs El Nacional?

The model expects 2.04 goals (Deportivo Santo Domingo 1.49 · El Nacional 0.54), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Santo Domingo vs El Nacional?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.