Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 16/09, 22:30

Prediction: CD Cuenca Jrs vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Team pages: CD Cuenca Jrs · San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.96Total

CD Cuenca Jrs1.26

San Antonio FC Cotacachi0.7

1X2

51% 28% 21%

CD Cuenca Jrs Draw San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Cuenca Jrs 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WWDDLWLDLL

San Antonio FC Cotacachi 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWWWDDLL

Head-to-head

CD Cuenca Jrs 1–1–0 San Antonio FC Cotacachi (2 last)

CD Cuenca Jrs1-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi
San Antonio FC Cotacachi1-1CD Cuenca Jrs

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Cuenca Jrs 1477 · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1481

	CD Cuenca Jrs	Draw	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Our model	49%	32%	19%
Market	52%	26%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 1.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Cuenca Jrs	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/22/44%	33/56/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 2.9	1.2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.50

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 1.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:15 +7’	1.73	3.50	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Cuenca Jrs 1–1–0 San Antonio FC Cotacachi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/07/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	CD Cuenca Jrs	1-0 HT 1-0	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
16/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	1-1 HT 1-1	CD Cuenca Jrs

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Independiente Juniors	25	11	10	4	30	19	43
2	Atletico FC Guayaquil	25	10	12	3	30	17	42
3	Club 9 de Octubre	25	10	12	3	28	18	42
4	Vinotinto Ecuador	25	11	7	7	32	19	40
5	CD Cuenca Jrs	25	9	8	8	21	27	35
6	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	25	7	11	7	26	28	32

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Cuenca Jrs	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Vinotinto Ecuador	0-2 L	2-4 L
Independiente Juniors	0-1 L	0-0 D
Club 9 de Octubre	1-1 D	0-0 D
Gualaceo SC	0-3 L	2-1 W
Cumbaya	0-0 D	0-0 D
Atletico FC Guayaquil	0-0 D	0-3 L
CD Vargas Torres	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 4 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Cuenca Jrs

WWDDLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-2	0-2	3	7	L
04/09	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
28/08	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-1	1	9	D
20/08	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-3	1	7	L
14/08	22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
30/07	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
24/07	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
17/07	CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
09/07	LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	7	11	W

San Antonio FC Cotacachi

DLDWWWDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
03/09	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	2-4	2	6	L
27/08	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
20/08	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
13/08	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
06/08	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/07	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	0	4	W
22/07	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
16/07	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-1	1-4	2	6	L
11/07	CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-1	7	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Cuenca Jrs vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Cuenca Jrs win (51%). Probabilities: CD Cuenca Jrs 51%, draw 28%, San Antonio FC Cotacachi 21%.

How many goals are expected in CD Cuenca Jrs vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?

The model expects 1.96 goals (CD Cuenca Jrs 1.26 · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0.7), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Cuenca Jrs vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.