Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 05/09, 15:00

Prediction: Club Atlético Tembetary vs Encarnacion FC

Team pages: Club Atlético Tembetary · Encarnacion FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Club Atlético Tembetary1.64

Encarnacion FC1.02

1X2

51% 26% 23%

Club Atlético Tembetary Draw Encarnacion FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Atlético Tembetary 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Encarnacion FC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Club Atlético Tembetary 2–1 Encarnacion FC (3 last)

Encarnacion FC0-2Club Atlético Tembetary
Encarnacion FC2-1Club Atlético Tembetary
Club Atlético Tembetary2-1Encarnacion FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Atlético Tembetary 1534 · Encarnacion FC 1430

	Club Atlético Tembetary	Draw	Encarnacion FC
Our model	51%	27%	22%
Market	51%	26%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Atlético Tembetary (rating 1534 vs 1430).
H2H favours Club Atlético Tembetary: 2-0-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Atlético Tembetary	Encarnacion FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.9	0.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.3	2.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.50

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
06:35 +3’	1.75	3.50	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Atlético Tembetary 2–0–1 Encarnacion FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Encarnacion FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Club Atlético Tembetary
28/08/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Encarnacion FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Club Atlético Tembetary
21/05/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Club Atlético Tembetary	2-1 HT 1-1	Encarnacion FC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	21	13	4	4	31	19	43
2	General Caballero JLM	21	13	4	4	43	25	43
3	Deportivo Santaní	21	12	3	6	35	22	39
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	21	11	5	5	35	23	38
5	Sol de America	21	7	12	2	26	17	33
6	Club Atlético Tembetary	21	8	5	8	31	32	29
7	Resistencia FC	21	7	8	6	22	23	29
8	Carapegua	21	8	4	9	24	34	28
9	Independiente FBC	21	6	9	6	30	31	27
10	Deportivo Capiata	22	6	9	7	29	31	27
11	Guairena FC	21	6	6	9	19	24	24
12	Fernando de la Mora	21	6	6	9	23	31	24
13	Paraguari AC	21	6	5	10	22	27	23
14	Tacuary	21	3	10	8	24	33	19
15	3 de Noviembre	22	3	7	12	26	36	16
16	Encarnacion FC	21	4	3	14	19	31	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Atlético Tembetary	Encarnacion FC
Deportivo Santaní	4-3 W	0-1 L
Fernando de la Mora	2-1 W	0-0 D
3 de Noviembre	0-3 L	2-1 W
General Caballero JLM	1-3 L	0-1 L
Guairena FC	0-0 D	1-2 L
Resistencia FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Club Atlético Tembetary (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Atlético Tembetary

LDWDLDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	4-3	3	5	W
22/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
17/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-3	6	6	L
11/08	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
01/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
28/07	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	5	8	L
19/07	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
14/07	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-1	9	2	W
08/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-2	2-2	5	6	D
27/06	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-4	6	1	L

Encarnacion FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-3	14	4	L
23/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
14/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
08/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
02/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
26/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
19/07	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
11/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	7	1	L
06/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
30/06	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	3	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Atlético Tembetary vs Encarnacion FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Atlético Tembetary win (51%). Probabilities: Club Atlético Tembetary 51%, draw 26%, Encarnacion FC 23%.

How many goals are expected in Club Atlético Tembetary vs Encarnacion FC?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Club Atlético Tembetary 1.64 · Encarnacion FC 1.02), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Atlético Tembetary vs Encarnacion FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.