Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 05/09, 15:00

Prediction: Tacuary vs Deportivo Santaní

Team pages: Tacuary · Deportivo Santaní

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Tacuary0.89

Deportivo Santaní1.58

1X2

21% 26% 53%

Tacuary Draw Deportivo Santaní

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Tacuary 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WWDDDLWLLD

Deportivo Santaní 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Tacuary 1–3–2 Deportivo Santaní (6 last)

Deportivo Santaní0-0Tacuary
Tacuary0-2Deportivo Santaní
Deportivo Santaní0-1Tacuary
Deportivo Santaní1-1Tacuary
Tacuary0-0Deportivo Santaní
Deportivo Santaní4-1Tacuary

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tacuary 1497 · Deportivo Santaní 1569

	Tacuary	Draw	Deportivo Santaní
Our model	20%	28%	52%
Market	21%	25%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Santaní (rating 1497 vs 1569).
H2H favours Deportivo Santaní: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tacuary	Deportivo Santaní
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	2.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.6	3.2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.4	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.20

X3.50

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:22 +4’	4.20	3.50	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tacuary 1–3–2 Deportivo Santaní

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	0-0 HT 0-0	Tacuary
20/09/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Tacuary	0-2 HT 0-2	Deportivo Santaní
13/06/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	0-1 HT 0-0	Tacuary
17/10/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	1-1 HT 1-0	Tacuary
04/07/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Tacuary	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Santaní
10/08/14 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	4-1	Tacuary

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	21	13	4	4	31	19	43
2	General Caballero JLM	21	13	4	4	43	25	43
3	Deportivo Santaní	21	12	3	6	35	22	39
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	21	11	5	5	35	23	38
5	Sol de America	21	7	12	2	26	17	33
6	Club Atlético Tembetary	21	8	5	8	31	32	29
7	Resistencia FC	21	7	8	6	22	23	29
8	Carapegua	21	8	4	9	24	34	28
9	Independiente FBC	21	6	9	6	30	31	27
10	Deportivo Capiata	22	6	9	7	29	31	27
11	Guairena FC	21	6	6	9	19	24	24
12	Fernando de la Mora	21	6	6	9	23	31	24
13	Paraguari AC	21	6	5	10	22	27	23
14	Tacuary	21	3	10	8	24	33	19
15	3 de Noviembre	22	3	7	12	26	36	16
16	Encarnacion FC	21	4	3	14	19	31	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tacuary	Deportivo Santaní
Fernando de la Mora	1-1 D	2-3 L
3 de Noviembre	0-1 L	4-0 W
General Caballero JLM	1-4 L	2-1 W
Guairena FC	1-0 W	2-0 W
Paraguari AC	1-0 W	2-0 W
Club Atlético Tembetary	4-2 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Santaní (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tacuary

WWDDDLWLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
23/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
18/08	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-4	2	4	L
10/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
01/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-3	3	6	L
25/07	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
20/07	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
13/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-2	3	2	D
03/07	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
27/06	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	4-2	4	1	W

Deportivo Santaní

WWWLWWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-4	2	5	L
23/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	6	3	W
16/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
08/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	4-2	3	6	W
02/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
21/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-3	7	4	L
11/07	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	4-0	10	3	W
05/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
01/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tacuary vs Deportivo Santaní?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Santaní win (53%). Probabilities: Tacuary 21%, draw 26%, Deportivo Santaní 53%.

How many goals are expected in Tacuary vs Deportivo Santaní?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Tacuary 0.89 · Deportivo Santaní 1.58), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tacuary vs Deportivo Santaní?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.