Football · Cyprus Division 1 · 05/09, 18:00
Prediction: Pafos FC vs Olympiakos Nicosia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Pafos FC2.27
Olympiakos Nicosia0.86
1X2
Pafos FC
Draw
Olympiakos Nicosia
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Pafos FC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Olympiakos Nicosia
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pafos FC
3–2–1
Olympiakos Nicosia
(6 last)
- Olympiakos Nicosia2-0Pafos FC
- Pafos FC2-1Olympiakos Nicosia
- Olympiakos Nicosia0-1Pafos FC
- Olympiakos Nicosia1-1Pafos FC
- Pafos FC1-1Olympiakos Nicosia
- Olympiakos Nicosia1-2Pafos FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pafos FC 1521 · Olympiakos Nicosia 1515
| Pafos FC | Draw | Olympiakos Nicosia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 20% | 12% |
| Market | 69% | 19% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Pafos FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pafos FC | Olympiakos Nicosia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.5 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pafos FC 3–2–1 Olympiakos Nicosia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Cyprus Division 1 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Pafos FC |
| 27/09/25 Cyprus Division 1 | Pafos FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Olympiakos Nicosia |
| 18/01/24 Cyprus Cup | Olympiakos Nicosia | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Pafos FC |
| 07/03/23 Cyprus Division 1 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Pafos FC |
| 03/12/22 Cyprus Division 1 | Pafos FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Olympiakos Nicosia |
| 15/01/22 Cyprus Division 1 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Pafos FC |
Standings · Cyprus Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Pafos FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | AEK Larnaca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | AEL Limassol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Nea Salamis Famagusta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 6 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 7 | Apollon Limassol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Aris Limassol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Omonia Aradippou | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Omonia Nicosia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Apoel Nicosia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | APK Karmotissa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pafos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | APK Karmotissa Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 22/05 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 06/05 | Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 14/04 | Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
Olympiakos Nicosia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 09/05 | AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Ethnikos Achnas Cyprus Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Akritas Chlorakas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Enosis Paralimni Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 21/03 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/03 | Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 07/03 | Ethnikos Achnas Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pafos FC vs Olympiakos Nicosia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pafos FC win (69%). Probabilities: Pafos FC 69%, draw 19%, Olympiakos Nicosia 12%.
How many goals are expected in Pafos FC vs Olympiakos Nicosia?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Pafos FC 2.27 · Olympiakos Nicosia 0.86), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Pafos FC vs Olympiakos Nicosia?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.