Football · Cyprus Division 1 · 12/09, 18:00

Prediction: Anorthosis Famagusta vs Apoel Nicosia

Team pages: Anorthosis Famagusta · Apoel Nicosia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Anorthosis Famagusta1.1
Apoel Nicosia1.81
1X2
22% 25% 53%
Anorthosis Famagusta Draw Apoel Nicosia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Anorthosis Famagusta 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DWLDWWWLLL
Apoel Nicosia 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLDWLLLLLW
Head-to-head
Anorthosis Famagusta 1–2–3 Apoel Nicosia (6 last)
  • Anorthosis Famagusta1-3Apoel Nicosia
  • Apoel Nicosia0-2Anorthosis Famagusta
  • Anorthosis Famagusta1-1Apoel Nicosia
  • Anorthosis Famagusta0-3Apoel Nicosia
  • Anorthosis Famagusta2-2Apoel Nicosia
  • Apoel Nicosia2-0Anorthosis Famagusta
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anorthosis Famagusta 1491 · Apoel Nicosia 1465
Anorthosis FamagustaDrawApoel Nicosia
Our model22%25%53%
Market22%25%53%
Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Apoel Nicosia: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 12 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Anorthosis FamagustaApoel Nicosia
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.31.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.60.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)3.8 / 6.22.3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.34.8 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Anorthosis Famagusta 123 Apoel Nicosia

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
16/08/26
Europe Friendlies
Anorthosis Famagusta1-3
HT 0-1
Apoel Nicosia
08/03/26
Cyprus Division 1
Apoel Nicosia0-2
HT 0-0
Anorthosis Famagusta
29/11/25
Cyprus Division 1
Anorthosis Famagusta1-1
HT 1-0
Apoel Nicosia
11/08/25
Europe Friendlies
Anorthosis Famagusta0-3
HT 0-0
Apoel Nicosia
03/02/25
Cyprus Division 1
Anorthosis Famagusta2-2
HT 2-1
Apoel Nicosia
28/10/24
Cyprus Division 1
Apoel Nicosia2-0
HT 1-0
Anorthosis Famagusta

Standings · Cyprus Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 AEK Larnaca 2200 726
2 Omonia 29is Maiou 2110 524
3 Apollon Limassol 2110 534
4 Omonia Aradippou 2110 214
5 Apoel Nicosia 2101 733
6 Pafos FC 1100 303
7 AEL Limassol 2101 263
8 Nea Salamis Famagusta 2011 471
9 Olympiakos Nicosia 1010 331
10 Aris Limassol 1010 221
11 Omonia Nicosia 1010 001
12 APK Karmotissa 2011 251
13 Anorthosis Famagusta 2002 150
13 Krasava ENY Ypsonas 2002 150

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAnorthosis FamagustaApoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol 1-3 L 0-2 L
AEL Limassol 0-2 L 6-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Apoel Nicosia (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Anorthosis Famagusta

DWLDWWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Apollon Limassol
Cyprus Division 1
1-1 1-3 31 L
30/08 AEL Limassol
Cyprus Division 1
0-1 0-2 84 L
15/05 Olympiakos Nicosia
Cyprus Division 1
0-0 0-1 59 L
08/05 Krasava ENY Ypsonas
Cyprus Division 1
1-1 5-2 61 W
02/05 Enosis Paralimni
Cyprus Division 1
1-0 2-0 64 W
27/04 AEL Limassol
Cyprus Division 1
1-0 1-0 77 W
19/04 Omonia Aradippou
Cyprus Division 1
1-1 1-1 711 D
05/04 Ethnikos Achnas
Cyprus Division 1
0-0 0-1 L
21/03 Akritas Chlorakas
Cyprus Division 1
0-1 3-2 75 W
15/03 Apollon Limassol
Cyprus Division 1
0-1 1-1 77 D

Apoel Nicosia

LLDWLLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 AEL Limassol
Cyprus Division 1
2-0 6-0 36 W
29/08 AEK Larnaca
Cyprus Division 1
0-2 1-3 57 L
22/05 Pafos FC
Cyprus Division 1
0-2 0-2 46 L
16/05 Omonia Nicosia
Cyprus Division 1
0-2 0-3 63 L
10/05 Apollon Limassol
Cyprus Division 1
0-1 0-2 66 L
06/05 Aris Limassol
Cyprus Division 1
0-0 0-1 66 L
03/05 AEK Larnaca
Cyprus Division 1
0-0 1-0 76 W
26/04 Pafos FC
Cyprus Division 1
2-1 3-3 44 D
18/04 Omonia Nicosia
Cyprus Division 1
0-2 0-2 94 L
14/04 Apollon Limassol
Cyprus Division 1
0-1 2-3 84 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anorthosis Famagusta vs Apoel Nicosia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Apoel Nicosia win (53%). Probabilities: Anorthosis Famagusta 22%, draw 25%, Apoel Nicosia 53%.

How many goals are expected in Anorthosis Famagusta vs Apoel Nicosia?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Anorthosis Famagusta 1.1 · Apoel Nicosia 1.81), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Anorthosis Famagusta vs Apoel Nicosia?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.