Football · Cyprus Division 1 · 12/09, 18:00

Prediction: Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol

Team pages: Omonia Nicosia · Apollon Limassol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Omonia Nicosia1.78

Apollon Limassol1.05

1X2

54% 25% 21%

Omonia Nicosia Draw Apollon Limassol

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Omonia Nicosia 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDWWD

Apollon Limassol 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWLDW

Head-to-head

Omonia Nicosia 3–1–2 Apollon Limassol (6 last)

Omonia Nicosia5-2Apollon Limassol
Apollon Limassol2-3Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia1-1Apollon Limassol
Apollon Limassol2-0Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia1-0Apollon Limassol
Apollon Limassol3-1Omonia Nicosia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Omonia Nicosia 1585 · Apollon Limassol 1536

	Omonia Nicosia	Draw	Apollon Limassol
Our model	54%	25%	21%
Market	54%	25%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Omonia Nicosia (rating 1585 vs 1536).
H2H favours Omonia Nicosia: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Omonia Nicosia	Apollon Limassol
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.5	1.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.3	1.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.5	1.6 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.60

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:16 +14’	1.70	3.60	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Omonia Nicosia 3–1–2 Apollon Limassol

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Cyprus Division 1	Omonia Nicosia	5-2 HT 1-1	Apollon Limassol
26/04/26 Cyprus Division 1	Apollon Limassol	2-3 HT 1-2	Omonia Nicosia
02/03/26 Cyprus Division 1	Omonia Nicosia	1-1 HT 1-1	Apollon Limassol
23/11/25 Cyprus Division 1	Apollon Limassol	2-0 HT 1-0	Omonia Nicosia
04/05/25 Cyprus Division 1	Omonia Nicosia	1-0 HT 0-0	Apollon Limassol
01/04/25 Cyprus Division 1	Apollon Limassol	3-1 HT 0-1	Omonia Nicosia

Standings · Cyprus Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
2	Omonia 29is Maiou	2	1	1	0	5	2	4
3	Apollon Limassol	2	1	1	0	5	3	4
4	Omonia Aradippou	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
5	Apoel Nicosia	2	1	0	1	7	3	3
6	Pafos FC	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
7	AEL Limassol	2	1	0	1	2	6	3
8	Nea Salamis Famagusta	2	0	1	1	4	7	1
9	Olympiakos Nicosia	1	0	1	0	3	3	1
10	Aris Limassol	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
11	Omonia Nicosia	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
12	APK Karmotissa	2	0	1	1	2	5	1
13	Anorthosis Famagusta	2	0	0	2	1	5	0
13	Krasava ENY Ypsonas	2	0	0	2	1	5	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Omonia Nicosia	Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia	3-0 W	2-0 W
AEK Larnaca	1-1 D	0-1 L
Pafos FC	2-0 W	2-1 W
Aris Limassol	3-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Omonia Nicosia (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Omonia Nicosia

WWWWWWDWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1	0-0	0-0	10	4	D
22/05	Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1	1-1	5-2	6	4	W
16/05	Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
10/05	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
06/05	Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
02/05	Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
26/04	Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1	2-1	3-2	5	7	W
18/04	Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1	2-0	2-0	4	4	W
14/04	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
04/04	Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1	2-0	2-0	2	9	W

Apollon Limassol

WLLWLWWLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1	1-1	3-1	5	1	W
29/08	Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1	1-1	2-2	3	8	D
22/05	Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1	1-1	2-5	4	4	L
16/05	Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1	3-0	3-2	1	2	W
10/05	Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
06/05	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1	0-1	0-1	1	10	L
03/05	Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1	2-1	2-1	2	7	W
26/04	Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1	1-2	2-3	6	7	L
18/04	Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1	0-3	0-3	3	3	L
14/04	Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1	1-0	3-2	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Omonia Nicosia win (54%). Probabilities: Omonia Nicosia 54%, draw 25%, Apollon Limassol 21%.

How many goals are expected in Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Omonia Nicosia 1.78 · Apollon Limassol 1.05), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.