Football · Hungary NB III · 30/08, 11:00

Prediction: Kispest Honved II vs Monori SE

Team pages: Kispest Honved II · Monori SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Kispest Honved II1.28

Monori SE1.8

1X2

27% 24% 49%

Kispest Honved II Draw Monori SE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Kispest Honved II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLDLLL

Monori SE 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLDLWW

Head-to-head

Kispest Honved II 5–1–0 Monori SE (6 last)

Monori SE0-1Kispest Honved II
Kispest Honved II1-1Monori SE
Kispest Honved II1-0Monori SE
Monori SE1-2Kispest Honved II
Kispest Honved II3-1Monori SE
Kispest Honved II3-2Monori SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kispest Honved II 1434 · Monori SE 1476

	Kispest Honved II	Draw	Monori SE
Our model	26%	25%	49%
Market	28%	22%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monori SE (rating 1434 vs 1476).
H2H favours Kispest Honved II: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kispest Honved II	Monori SE
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.5	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	11/56/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.8	1.4 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	5.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.25

X4.00

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:58 +5’	3.25	4.00	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kispest Honved II 5–1–0 Monori SE

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	0-1 HT 0-0	Kispest Honved II
02/11/25 Hungary NB III	Kispest Honved II	1-1 HT 0-0	Monori SE
22/03/25 Hungary NB III	Kispest Honved II	1-0 HT 0-0	Monori SE
01/09/24 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	1-2 HT 1-0	Kispest Honved II
26/05/24 Hungary NB III	Kispest Honved II	3-1 HT 1-1	Monori SE
31/07/22 Hungary NB III	Kispest Honved II	3-2 HT 1-1	Monori SE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	5	5	0	0	17	2	15
2	III Keruleti TUE	5	5	0	0	12	0	15
3	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	5	4	1	0	16	6	13
4	ESMTK	5	3	1	1	11	5	10
5	FC Dabas	5	3	1	1	11	10	10
6	Szolnoki Mav FC	6	2	3	1	14	14	9
7	Ujpest II	5	2	2	1	15	8	8
8	Csepel FC	5	2	2	1	12	5	8
9	Monori SE	5	2	1	2	10	8	7
10	Vasas SC II	5	1	2	2	9	9	5
11	Budapest Honved II	5	1	1	3	11	10	4
12	Sandorfalvi SK	5	1	0	4	3	18	3
13	Bekescsabai Elore SE	5	0	2	3	2	8	2
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	5	0	2	3	4	13	2
15	Szegedi VSE	6	0	2	4	9	19	2
16	BKV Elore SC	5	0	0	5	3	24	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kispest Honved II	Monori SE
FC Dabas	1-3 L	2-3 L
Csepel FC	1-3 L	0-0 D
Hodmezovasarhelyi	0-1 L	4-1 W
ESMTK	0-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Monori SE (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kispest Honved II

LLLWWLDLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
16/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	4	2	L
09/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	2-2	2-3	8	6	L
26/07	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
24/05	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
17/05	Monori SE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
10/05	Tiszafoldvar Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	7	8	W
03/05	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
26/04	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
19/04	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-4	0-4	2	3	L

Monori SE

WLLDLLDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	1-0	4-1	5	5	W
15/08	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-2	2-3	3	6	L
08/08	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
26/07	ESMTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	2	8	L
07/06	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	5	8	L
31/05	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	3	7	D
24/05	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	6	5	L
17/05	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
10/05	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kispest Honved II vs Monori SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Monori SE win (49%). Probabilities: Kispest Honved II 27%, draw 24%, Monori SE 49%.

How many goals are expected in Kispest Honved II vs Monori SE?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Kispest Honved II 1.28 · Monori SE 1.8), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kispest Honved II vs Monori SE?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.