Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 06/09, 21:30

Prediction: Urena SC vs CD Lara

Team pages: Urena SC · CD Lara

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

Urena SC1.17

CD Lara1.34

1X2

32% 29% 40%

Urena SC Draw CD Lara

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Urena SC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDDDLL

CD Lara 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWLDWWWW

Head-to-head

Urena SC 3–2–1 CD Lara (6 last)

Urena SC1-0CD Lara
CD Lara2-3Urena SC
Urena SC0-0CD Lara
CD Lara1-2Urena SC
Urena SC0-0CD Lara
CD Lara2-1Urena SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Urena SC 1520 · CD Lara 1538

	Urena SC	Draw	CD Lara
Our model	31%	29%	39%
Market	32%	28%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Urena SC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Urena SC	CD Lara
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	2.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4	2.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.6	5.7 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.20

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
20:31 +7’	2.80	3.20	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Urena SC 3–2–1 CD Lara

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/06/26 Venezuela Cup	Urena SC	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Lara
06/06/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	CD Lara	2-3 HT 0-1	Urena SC
12/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Urena SC	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Lara
17/07/16 Venezuela Primera Division	CD Lara	1-2 HT 1-1	Urena SC
14/02/16 Venezuela Primera Division	Urena SC	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Lara
30/08/15 Venezuela Primera Division	CD Lara	2-1 HT 1-1	Urena SC

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Lara	23	14	6	3	40	20	48
2	Barquisimeto	23	11	7	5	37	25	40
3	Urena SC	23	10	9	4	37	25	39
4	Yaracuyanos	23	10	7	6	31	24	37
5	Zamora II	23	8	7	8	34	33	31
6	Academia Puerto Cabello II	23	8	5	10	30	29	29
7	Atletico El Vigia	24	7	6	11	27	40	27
8	Atletico Barinas	23	7	3	13	43	53	24
9	Real Frontera	23	3	2	18	19	49	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Urena SC	CD Lara
Yaracuyanos	3-4 L	2-2 D
Atletico El Vigia	0-1 L	1-2 L
Atletico Barinas	1-1 D	4-1 W
Barquisimeto	1-1 D	2-1 W
Zamora II	2-2 D	2-0 W
Academia Puerto Cabello II	1-0 W	3-0 W
Real Frontera	5-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Lara (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Urena SC

WDWWWDDDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	2-2	3-4	5	6	L
30/08	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
23/08	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
09/08	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	8	8	D
03/08	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-2	2-2	2	9	D
29/07	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
25/07	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	3-0	5-1	4	6	W
06/06	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	3-2	2	6	W
31/05	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
24/05	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

CD Lara

WWLWLDWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
29/08	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
22/08	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	3-0	5	7	W
15/08	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	2-0	5	7	W
02/08	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-2	7	10	D
29/07	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	0	4	L
25/07	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	4-1	8	5	W
06/06	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	2-3	10	6	L
30/05	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-0	0	9	W
24/05	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	4-1	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Urena SC vs CD Lara?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Lara win (40%). Probabilities: Urena SC 32%, draw 29%, CD Lara 40%.

How many goals are expected in Urena SC vs CD Lara?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Urena SC 1.17 · CD Lara 1.34), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Urena SC vs CD Lara?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.