Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 06/09, 21:30

Prediction: Zamora II vs Academia Puerto Cabello II

Team pages: Zamora II · Academia Puerto Cabello II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Zamora II1.56

Academia Puerto Cabello II1.19

1X2

45% 27% 28%

Zamora II Draw Academia Puerto Cabello II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Zamora II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Academia Puerto Cabello II 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDLWDDLW

Head-to-head

Zamora II 1–1 Academia Puerto Cabello II (2 last)

Academia Puerto Cabello II1-2Zamora II
Zamora II1-2Academia Puerto Cabello II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zamora II 1476 · Academia Puerto Cabello II 1508

	Zamora II	Draw	Academia Puerto Cabello II
Our model	45%	27%	28%
Market	45%	27%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zamora II	Academia Puerto Cabello II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.5	1.2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.6	5.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.30

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:15 +23’	2.00	3.30	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zamora II 1–0–1 Academia Puerto Cabello II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Academia Puerto Cabello II	1-2 HT 0-0	Zamora II
11/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Zamora II	1-2 HT 0-2	Academia Puerto Cabello II

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Lara	23	14	6	3	40	20	48
2	Barquisimeto	23	11	7	5	37	25	40
3	Urena SC	23	10	9	4	37	25	39
4	Yaracuyanos	23	10	7	6	31	24	37
5	Zamora II	23	8	7	8	34	33	31
6	Academia Puerto Cabello II	23	8	5	10	30	29	29
7	Atletico El Vigia	24	7	6	11	27	40	27
8	Atletico Barinas	23	7	3	13	43	53	24
9	Real Frontera	23	3	2	18	19	49	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zamora II	Academia Puerto Cabello II
Real Frontera	2-0 W	3-0 W
CD Lara	0-2 L	0-3 L
Yaracuyanos	1-2 L	0-0 D
Atletico El Vigia	0-2 L	0-0 D
Atletico Barinas	3-2 W	5-3 W
Urena SC	2-2 D	0-1 L
Barquisimeto	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Academia Puerto Cabello II (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zamora II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
29/08	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
22/08	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
15/08	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
09/08	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	3-1	3-2	4	4	W
03/08	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	2-1	2-2	9	9	D
29/07	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	4	9	L
05/06	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-1	2	8	W
30/05	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	9	1	W
24/05	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-4	5	4	L

Academia Puerto Cabello II

DWLDLWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	3-0	5	6	W
22/08	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-3	2	7	L
14/08	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
09/08	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
02/08	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	3-2	5-3	3	6	W
29/07	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
25/07	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	2-2	5	9	D
05/06	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-2	3	8	L
24/05	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
20/05	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-1	6	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zamora II vs Academia Puerto Cabello II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zamora II win (45%). Probabilities: Zamora II 45%, draw 27%, Academia Puerto Cabello II 28%.

How many goals are expected in Zamora II vs Academia Puerto Cabello II?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Zamora II 1.56 · Academia Puerto Cabello II 1.19), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Zamora II vs Academia Puerto Cabello II?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.