Football · Uruguay Clausura · 05/09, 00:00

Prediction: Torque vs Cerro Largo

Team pages: Torque · Cerro Largo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Torque1.8
Cerro Largo0.77
1X2
61% 25% 14%
Torque Draw Cerro Largo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Torque 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWDLWWLWWW
Cerro Largo 2-7-1 (W-D-L)
LDDDWWDDDD
Head-to-head
Torque 3–1–2 Cerro Largo (6 last)
  • Cerro Largo0-1Torque
  • Torque2-3Cerro Largo
  • Torque1-0Cerro Largo
  • Cerro Largo1-1Torque
  • Cerro Largo1-2Torque
  • Torque1-2Cerro Largo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Torque 1563 · Cerro Largo 1503
TorqueDrawCerro Largo
Our model61%25%15%
Market61%25%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torque (rating 1563 vs 1503).
  • H2H favours Torque: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TorqueCerro Largo
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 11.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.70.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/44/33%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.7 / 6.61.8 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 0.35.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Torque 312 Cerro Largo

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/03/26
Uruguay Apertura
Cerro Largo0-1
HT 0-0
Torque
14/01/26
Uruguay Copa de la Liga
Torque2-3
HT 2-3
Cerro Largo
20/09/25
Uruguay Clausura
Torque1-0
HT 0-0
Cerro Largo
26/03/25
Uruguay Apertura
Cerro Largo1-1
HT 0-0
Torque
04/11/23
Uruguay Clausura
Cerro Largo1-2
HT 0-1
Torque
28/03/23
Uruguay Apertura
Torque1-2
HT 1-1
Cerro Largo

Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Montevideo Wanderers 7430 12415
2 Nacional De Football 7412 8813
3 Deportivo Maldonado 7331 12612
4 Torque 7403 111112
5 Juventud De Las Piedras 7223 8118
6 Albion FC 7133 686
7 Club Atletico Progreso 7205 6116
8 Danubio 7043 594

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTorqueCerro Largo
Defensor Sporting 3-1 W 1-1 D
Montevideo Wanderers 5-1 W 1-1 D
Juventud De Las Piedras 1-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Torque (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Torque

LWDLWWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Defensor Sporting
Uruguay Clausura
2-1 3-1 33 W
23/08 Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguay Clausura
5-1 W
15/08 Juventud De Las Piedras
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 1-0 77 W
09/11 Penarol
Uruguay Clausura
0-1 0-2 44 L
01/11 Club Atletico Progreso
Uruguay Clausura
3-0 5-0 66 W
25/10 Defensor Sporting
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 1-0 108 W
18/10 Cerro
Uruguay Clausura
0-2 1-2 38 L
12/10 Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 2-2 78 D
04/10 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 3-0 128 W
28/09 Danubio
Uruguay Clausura
0-2 0-2 75 L

Cerro Largo

LDDDWWDDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/08 Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguay Clausura
0-1 1-1 23 D
22/08 Defensor Sporting
Uruguay Clausura
0-1 1-1 13 D
16/08 Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguay Clausura
0-1 1-1 47 D
08/08 Juventud De Las Piedras
Uruguay Clausura
1-0 1-1 24 D
07/11 Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguay Clausura
1-0 2-0 57 W
03/11 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 2-0 29 W
25/10 Racing Club de Montevideo
Uruguay Clausura
0-1 2-2 48 D
19/10 CA River Plate
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 1-1 46 D
11/10 Boston River
Uruguay Clausura
2-0 2-2 33 D
04/10 Nacional De Football
Uruguay Clausura
0-1 1-2 211 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Torque vs Cerro Largo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Torque win (61%). Probabilities: Torque 61%, draw 25%, Cerro Largo 14%.

How many goals are expected in Torque vs Cerro Largo?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Torque 1.8 · Cerro Largo 0.77), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Torque vs Cerro Largo?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.