Football · Uruguay Clausura · 15/09, 00:00

Prediction: Torque vs Liverpool Montevideo

Team pages: Torque · Liverpool Montevideo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Torque1.12
Liverpool Montevideo1.15
1X2
34% 30% 36%
Torque Draw Liverpool Montevideo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Torque 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WDLWWLWWWW
Liverpool Montevideo 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DWWLLWWWDW
Head-to-head
Torque 0–2–4 Liverpool Montevideo (6 last)
  • Liverpool Montevideo0-0Torque
  • Torque1-1Liverpool Montevideo
  • Liverpool Montevideo4-1Torque
  • Torque2-3Liverpool Montevideo
  • Liverpool Montevideo1-0Torque
  • Torque0-2Liverpool Montevideo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Torque 1573 · Liverpool Montevideo 1550
TorqueDrawLiverpool Montevideo
Our model34%31%35%
Market35%29%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Liverpool Montevideo: 4-2-0.
  • High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TorqueLiverpool Montevideo
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 0.91.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/44/33%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.8 / 7.12.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.2 / 0.46.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Torque 024 Liverpool Montevideo

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/03/26
Uruguay Apertura
Liverpool Montevideo0-0
HT 0-0
Torque
08/09/25
Uruguay Clausura
Torque1-1
HT 0-0
Liverpool Montevideo
15/03/25
Uruguay Apertura
Liverpool Montevideo4-1
HT 2-1
Torque
23/10/23
Uruguay Clausura
Torque2-3
HT 0-1
Liverpool Montevideo
18/03/23
Uruguay Apertura
Liverpool Montevideo1-0
HT 0-0
Torque
20/09/22
Uruguay Clausura
Torque0-2
HT 0-0
Liverpool Montevideo

Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Montevideo Wanderers 7430 12415
2 Nacional De Football 7412 8813
3 Deportivo Maldonado 7331 12612
4 Torque 7403 111112
5 Juventud De Las Piedras 7223 8118
6 Albion FC 7133 686
7 Club Atletico Progreso 7205 6116
8 Danubio 7043 594

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTorqueLiverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo 2-1 W 1-1 D
Defensor Sporting 3-1 W 4-0 W
Juventud De Las Piedras 1-0 W 0-1 L
Club Atletico Progreso 5-0 W 3-1 W
Cerro 1-2 L 4-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Torque (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Torque

WDLWWLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Cerro Largo
Uruguay Clausura
0-1 2-1 128 W
29/08 Defensor Sporting
Uruguay Clausura
2-1 3-1 33 W
23/08 Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguay Clausura
5-1 W
15/08 Juventud De Las Piedras
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 1-0 77 W
09/11 Penarol
Uruguay Clausura
0-1 0-2 44 L
01/11 Club Atletico Progreso
Uruguay Clausura
3-0 5-0 66 W
25/10 Defensor Sporting
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 1-0 108 W
18/10 Cerro
Uruguay Clausura
0-2 1-2 38 L
12/10 Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 2-2 78 D
04/10 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 3-0 128 W

Liverpool Montevideo

DWWLLWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/09 Boston River
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 1-0 76 W
31/08 Cerro Largo
Uruguay Clausura
1-0 1-1 63 D
22/08 Cerro
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 4-0 135 W
16/08 Defensor Sporting
Uruguay Clausura
1-0 4-0 410 W
08/08 Albion FC
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 1-0 77 W
07/11 Cerro Largo
Uruguay Clausura
0-1 0-2 27 L
01/11 Juventud De Las Piedras
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 0-1 69 L
26/10 Club Atletico Progreso
Uruguay Clausura
1-1 3-1 26 W
21/10 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Clausura
0-0 1-0 38 W
11/10 Racing Club de Montevideo
Uruguay Clausura
0-1 2-2 37 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Torque vs Liverpool Montevideo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Liverpool Montevideo win (36%). Probabilities: Torque 34%, draw 30%, Liverpool Montevideo 36%.

How many goals are expected in Torque vs Liverpool Montevideo?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Torque 1.12 · Liverpool Montevideo 1.15), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Torque vs Liverpool Montevideo?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.