Football · Brazil Campeonato Carioca B · 26/09, 19:45
Prediction: Serrano vs Campo Grande AC
Team pages: Serrano · Campo Grande AC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
Serrano1.14
Campo Grande AC0.79
1X2
Serrano
Draw
Campo Grande AC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Serrano
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Campo Grande AC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Serrano
2–1–0
Campo Grande AC
(3 last)
- Campo Grande AC1-1Serrano
- Serrano2-0Campo Grande AC
- Serrano2-1Campo Grande AC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Serrano 1513 · Campo Grande AC 1511
| Serrano | Draw | Campo Grande AC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 33% | 24% |
| Market | 44% | 30% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.93 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Serrano: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Serrano | Campo Grande AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.6 | 2.4 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0 | 7.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Serrano 2–1–0 Campo Grande AC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/25 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Campo Grande AC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Serrano |
| 22/10/22 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Serrano | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Campo Grande AC |
| 02/10/21 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Serrano | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Campo Grande AC |
Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duque de Caxias FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Artsul Futebol Clube | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Niteroiense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Campo Grande AC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Petropolis | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Sao Cristovao RJ | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | Goytacaz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Serrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Macae Esporte FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 11 | Carapebus/Campos | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 12 | Audax Rio | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Serrano | Campo Grande AC |
|---|---|---|
| Niteroiense | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Artsul Futebol Clube | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Serrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Goytacaz Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Niteroiense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/12 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/11 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 22/11 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/11 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 08/11 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/11 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 01/11 | Artsul Futebol Clube Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Campo Grande AC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Macae Esporte FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 12/09 | Artsul Futebol Clube Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
2-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Carapebus/Campos Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 08/11 | Petropolis Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/11 | Nova Cidade Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 01/11 | Carapebus/Campos Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 24/10 | Niteroiense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | Paduano EC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/10 | Friburguense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 04/10 | Duque de Caxias FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 11 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Serrano vs Campo Grande AC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Serrano win (43%). Probabilities: Serrano 43%, draw 31%, Campo Grande AC 25%.
How many goals are expected in Serrano vs Campo Grande AC?
The model expects 1.93 goals (Serrano 1.14 · Campo Grande AC 0.79), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Serrano vs Campo Grande AC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.