Prediction: Niteroiense vs Sao Cristovao RJ

Team pages: Niteroiense · Sao Cristovao RJ

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
Niteroiense1.32
Sao Cristovao RJ0.8
1X2
48% 30% 22%
Niteroiense Draw Sao Cristovao RJ
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Niteroiense 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DLDWDWWDWW
Sao Cristovao RJ 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WWDDLLDDLW
Head-to-head
Niteroiense 1–0 Sao Cristovao RJ (1 last)
  • Niteroiense1-0Sao Cristovao RJ
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Niteroiense 1558 · Sao Cristovao RJ 1509
NiteroienseDrawSao Cristovao RJ
Our model48%31%21%
Market49%29%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niteroiense (rating 1558 vs 1509).
  • Cards-heavy: 13.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NiteroienseSao Cristovao RJ
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 0.81.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.92.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.7 / 0.26.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Niteroiense 1–0–0 Sao Cristovao RJ

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/09/25
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
Niteroiense1-0
HT 0-0
Sao Cristovao RJ

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Niteroiense 4310 6110
2 Duque de Caxias FC 4301 839
3 Petropolis 4220 638
4 Artsul Futebol Clube 4220 528
5 Campo Grande AC 4211 657
6 Goytacaz 4211 337
7 Sao Cristovao RJ 4121 335
8 Serrano 4121 235
9 Macae Esporte FC 4112 334
10 Nova Cidade 4013 381
11 Carapebus/Campos 4013 161
12 Audax Rio 4004 280

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNiteroienseSao Cristovao RJ
Duque de Caxias FC 2-0 W 0-1 L
Nova Cidade 1-0 W 2-2 D
Petropolis 1-1 D 0-0 D
Serrano 2-0 W 0-1 L
Paduano EC 5-1 W 2-0 W
Friburguense 1-0 W 3-1 W
Artsul Futebol Clube 2-2 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 5 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Niteroiense (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Niteroiense

DLDWDWWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Duque de Caxias FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
2-0 2-0 55 W
19/09 Nova Cidade
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 1-0 28 W
12/09 Petropolis
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 1-1 07 D
05/09 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 2-0 44 W
08/11 Paduano EC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-1 5-1 37 W
05/11 Duque de Caxias FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-0 107 D
01/11 Friburguense
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 1-0 47 W
24/10 Campo Grande AC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-1 1-1 –– D
18/10 Bonsucesso FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
2-1 2-3 49 L
10/10 Artsul Futebol Clube
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-2 2-2 38 D

Sao Cristovao RJ

WWDDLLDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/09 Carapebus/Campos
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 1-0 99 W
19/09 Duque de Caxias FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-1 0-1 117 L
12/09 Nova Cidade
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-1 2-2 49 D
05/09 Petropolis
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-0 24 D
22/11 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-1 31 L
15/11 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-1 0-1 55 L
08/11 Artsul Futebol Clube
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 1-1 37 D
05/11 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-1 2-2 56 D
01/11 Paduano EC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 2-0 511 W
25/10 Friburguense
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 3-1 27 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Niteroiense vs Sao Cristovao RJ?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Niteroiense win (48%). Probabilities: Niteroiense 48%, draw 30%, Sao Cristovao RJ 22%.

How many goals are expected in Niteroiense vs Sao Cristovao RJ?

The model expects 2.12 goals (Niteroiense 1.32 · Sao Cristovao RJ 0.8), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Niteroiense vs Sao Cristovao RJ?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.