Football · Brazil Campeonato Carioca B · 03/10, 20:00
Prediction: Artsul Futebol Clube vs Serrano
Team pages: Artsul Futebol Clube · Serrano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.02Total
Artsul Futebol Clube1.23
Serrano0.79
1X2
Artsul Futebol Clube
Draw
Serrano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Artsul Futebol Clube
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Serrano
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Artsul Futebol Clube
2–1–3
Serrano
(6 last)
- Artsul Futebol Clube1-2Serrano
- Serrano0-1Artsul Futebol Clube
- Artsul Futebol Clube0-1Serrano
- Serrano1-1Artsul Futebol Clube
- Serrano0-1Artsul Futebol Clube
- Artsul Futebol Clube0-1Serrano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Artsul Futebol Clube 1510 · Serrano 1511
| Artsul Futebol Clube | Draw | Serrano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 32% | 23% |
| Market | 46% | 30% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Serrano: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Artsul Futebol Clube | Serrano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 5.4 / 8.1 | 1.4 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 8 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Artsul Futebol Clube 2–1–3 Serrano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/25 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Artsul Futebol Clube | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Serrano |
| 12/10/24 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Serrano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Artsul Futebol Clube |
| 07/08/24 Brazil Copa Rio | Artsul Futebol Clube | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Serrano |
| 24/07/24 Brazil Copa Rio | Serrano | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Artsul Futebol Clube |
| 18/05/24 Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 | Serrano | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Artsul Futebol Clube |
| 23/08/23 Brazil Copa Rio | Artsul Futebol Clube | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Serrano |
Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niteroiense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Duque de Caxias FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Petropolis | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Artsul Futebol Clube | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Campo Grande AC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Goytacaz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Sao Cristovao RJ | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Serrano | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Macae Esporte FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 11 | Carapebus/Campos | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 12 | Audax Rio | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Artsul Futebol Clube | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Campo Grande AC | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Audax Rio | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Sao Cristovao RJ | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Niteroiense | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Artsul Futebol Clube (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Artsul Futebol Clube
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Macae Esporte FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 19/09 | Carapebus/Campos Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 19 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Campo Grande AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 15 | W |
| 08/11 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 05/11 | Petropolis Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/11 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/10 | Carapebus/Campos Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
2-1 | 3-1 | 12 | 9 | W |
| 18/10 | Nova Cidade Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 10/10 | Niteroiense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 8 | D |
Serrano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Campo Grande AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Goytacaz Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Niteroiense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/12 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/11 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 22/11 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/11 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 08/11 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/11 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Artsul Futebol Clube vs Serrano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Artsul Futebol Clube win (46%). Probabilities: Artsul Futebol Clube 46%, draw 31%, Serrano 23%.
How many goals are expected in Artsul Futebol Clube vs Serrano?
The model expects 2.02 goals (Artsul Futebol Clube 1.23 · Serrano 0.79), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Artsul Futebol Clube vs Serrano?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.