Football · Brazil Campeonato Carioca B · 25/09, 19:45

Prediction: Carapebus/Campos vs Sao Cristovao RJ

Team pages: Carapebus/Campos · Sao Cristovao RJ

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.99Total
Carapebus/Campos0.52
Sao Cristovao RJ1.48
1X2
12% 28% 60%
Carapebus/Campos Draw Sao Cristovao RJ
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-1 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Carapebus/Campos 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LLDLWDLLLD
Sao Cristovao RJ 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WWWDDLLDDL
Head-to-head
Carapebus/Campos 0–1 Sao Cristovao RJ (1 last)
  • Carapebus/Campos0-2Sao Cristovao RJ
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carapebus/Campos 1434 · Sao Cristovao RJ 1507
Carapebus/CamposDrawSao Cristovao RJ
Our model12%28%60%
Market12%28%60%
Estimated total (ours) 1.99 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sao Cristovao RJ (rating 1434 vs 1507).
  • Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Carapebus/CamposSao Cristovao RJ
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 1.61.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.70.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/60/40%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.71.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 0.36.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Carapebus/Campos 0–0–1 Sao Cristovao RJ

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/10/25
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
Carapebus/Campos0-2
HT 0-0
Sao Cristovao RJ

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Duque de Caxias FC 3300 819
2 Artsul Futebol Clube 3210 527
3 Niteroiense 3210 417
4 Campo Grande AC 3201 546
5 Petropolis 3120 315
6 Goytacaz 3111 124
6 Serrano 3111 124
8 Macae Esporte FC 3102 333
9 Sao Cristovao RJ 3021 232
10 Nova Cidade 3012 261
11 Carapebus/Campos 3012 151
12 Audax Rio 3003 050

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCarapebus/CamposSao Cristovao RJ
Artsul Futebol Clube 0-0 D 1-1 D
Duque de Caxias FC 1-4 L 0-1 L
Serrano 0-0 D 0-1 L
Petropolis 0-3 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 2 L 0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sao Cristovao RJ (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carapebus/Campos

LLDLWDLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Artsul Futebol Clube
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-0 06 D
11/09 Duque de Caxias FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-2 1-4 21 L
05/09 Campo Grande AC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-1 0-1 79 L
08/11 Duque de Caxias FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-2 34 L
05/11 Bonsucesso FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-1 1-1 39 D
01/11 Campo Grande AC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 1-0 88 W
25/10 Artsul Futebol Clube
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-2 1-3 49 L
18/10 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-0 –– D
11/10 Petropolis
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-1 0-3 25 L
04/10 Sao Cristovao RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-2 46 L

Sao Cristovao RJ

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Duque de Caxias FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-1 0-1 117 L
12/09 Nova Cidade
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-1 2-2 49 D
05/09 Petropolis
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-0 24 D
22/11 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-1 31 L
15/11 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-1 0-1 55 L
08/11 Artsul Futebol Clube
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 1-1 37 D
05/11 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-1 2-2 56 D
01/11 Paduano EC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 2-0 511 W
25/10 Friburguense
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 3-1 27 W
18/10 Petropolis
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 1-0 37 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carapebus/Campos vs Sao Cristovao RJ?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sao Cristovao RJ win (60%). Probabilities: Carapebus/Campos 12%, draw 28%, Sao Cristovao RJ 60%.

How many goals are expected in Carapebus/Campos vs Sao Cristovao RJ?

The model expects 1.99 goals (Carapebus/Campos 0.52 · Sao Cristovao RJ 1.48), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Carapebus/Campos vs Sao Cristovao RJ?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.