Football · Uruguay Segunda · 30/08, 00:00

Prediction: Paysandu FC vs CA Atenas

Team pages: Paysandu FC · CA Atenas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Paysandu FC1.36
CA Atenas1.38
1X2
35% 29% 36%
Paysandu FC Draw CA Atenas
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Paysandu FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLLWWWWLLD
CA Atenas 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWWDLLWWWD
Head-to-head
Paysandu FC 0–1 CA Atenas (1 last)
  • CA Atenas3-2Paysandu FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paysandu FC 1480 · CA Atenas 1537
Paysandu FCDrawCA Atenas
Our model36%28%36%
Market35%29%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Atenas (rating 1480 vs 1537).
  • Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Paysandu FCCA Atenas
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.41.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.21 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.8 / 0.35 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Paysandu FC 001 CA Atenas

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/05/26
Uruguay Segunda
CA Atenas3-2
HT 1-1
Paysandu FC

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPaysandu FCCA Atenas
Huracan DPA 2-3 L 0-0 D
Uruguay Montevideo 0-1 L 2-1 W
Club Oriental 2-1 W 1-0 W
Colon FC 3-2 W 4-1 W
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1-0 W 0-1 L
Rentistas 2-1 W 1-3 L
Miramar Misiones 2-3 L 1-1 D
Tacuarembo 0-1 L 2-0 W
Plaza Colonia 1-2 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 5 L 5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CA Atenas (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paysandu FC

LLLWWWWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 45 D
15/08 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 2-3 57 L
08/08 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 43 L
04/08 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-1 39 W
25/07 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 3-2 53 W
14/07 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 58 W
04/07 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-1 45 W
28/06 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-3 18 L
20/06 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 614 L
14/06 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 1-2 59 L

CA Atenas

WWWDLLWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 45 D
15/08 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-1 56 W
09/08 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 55 W
03/08 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 4-1 15 W
26/07 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 35 L
12/07 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 1-3 611 L
06/07 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 53 D
27/06 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-0 36 W
21/06 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-1 46 W
14/06 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 4-0 02 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paysandu FC vs CA Atenas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CA Atenas win (36%). Probabilities: Paysandu FC 35%, draw 29%, CA Atenas 36%.

How many goals are expected in Paysandu FC vs CA Atenas?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Paysandu FC 1.36 · CA Atenas 1.38), with a 61% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Paysandu FC vs CA Atenas?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.