Prediction: Cerrito vs Paysandu FC
Team pages: Cerrito · Paysandu FC
- Paysandu FC0-1Cerrito
| Cerrito | Draw | Paysandu FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 31% | 26% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 13.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cerrito | Paysandu FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/56/33% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.2 | 2.3 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.7 / 0.4 | 6.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerrito 1–0–0 Paysandu FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Uruguay Segunda | Paysandu FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cerrito |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cerrito | Paysandu FC |
|---|---|---|
| Huracan DPA | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Uruguay Montevideo | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Club Oriental | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Colon FC | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Rentistas | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Miramar Misiones | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Tacuarembo | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Paysandu FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cerrito
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 12 | L |
| 22/08 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 18/07 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 12/07 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 11 | L |
Paysandu FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/08 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 25/07 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/07 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 04/07 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 20/06 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cerrito vs Paysandu FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cerrito win (44%). Probabilities: Cerrito 44%, draw 29%, Paysandu FC 27%.
How many goals are expected in Cerrito vs Paysandu FC?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Cerrito 1.31 · Paysandu FC 0.96), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cerrito vs Paysandu FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.