Football · Uruguay Segunda · 06/09, 16:00

Prediction: CA Atenas vs CA River Plate

Team pages: CA Atenas · CA River Plate

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
CA Atenas1.11
CA River Plate1.14
1X2
34% 31% 35%
CA Atenas Draw CA River Plate
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Atenas 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWDLLWWWDL
CA River Plate 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LDWWDLWWDD
Head-to-head
CA Atenas 2–2–2 CA River Plate (6 last)
  • CA River Plate0-2CA Atenas
  • CA Atenas1-1CA River Plate
  • CA Atenas1-1CA River Plate
  • CA River Plate3-1CA Atenas
  • CA River Plate2-5CA Atenas
  • CA Atenas1-3CA River Plate
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Atenas 1521 · CA River Plate 1521
CA AtenasDrawCA River Plate
Our model34%31%35%
Market34%30%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CA AtenasCA River Plate
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 11.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.60.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%44/56/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 4.12.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.44.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Atenas 222 CA River Plate

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DateHomeScoreAway
31/05/26
Uruguay Segunda
CA River Plate0-2
HT 0-1
CA Atenas
04/08/18
Uruguay Clausura
CA Atenas1-1
HT 0-1
CA River Plate
03/06/18
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
CA Atenas1-1
HT 0-1
CA River Plate
18/02/18
Uruguay Apertura
CA River Plate3-1
HT 0-0
CA Atenas
14/02/15
Uruguay Clausura
CA River Plate2-5
HT 0-2
CA Atenas
16/08/14
Uruguay Apertura
CA Atenas1-3
HT 1-1
CA River Plate

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCA AtenasCA River Plate
Paysandu FC 0-2 L 0-0 D
Huracan DPA 0-0 D 2-0 W
Uruguay Montevideo 2-1 W 1-1 D
Club Oriental 1-0 W 2-1 W
Colon FC 4-1 W 1-2 L
Rentistas 1-3 L 0-0 D
Miramar Misiones 1-1 D 3-0 W
Tacuarembo 2-0 W 0-1 L
Plaza Colonia 2-1 W 3-2 W
Record vs common 5 W 2 D 2 L 4 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CA River Plate (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Atenas

WWDLLWWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 56 L
23/08 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 45 D
15/08 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-1 56 W
09/08 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 55 W
03/08 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 4-1 15 W
26/07 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 35 L
12/07 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 1-3 611 L
06/07 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 53 D
27/06 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-0 36 W
21/06 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-1 46 W

CA River Plate

LDWWDLWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 86 D
22/08 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 65 D
15/08 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 3-0 14 W
09/08 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 76 W
02/08 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 L
18/07 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 76 D
11/07 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 3-2 55 W
05/07 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-1 55 W
28/06 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 43 D
20/06 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 1-2 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Atenas vs CA River Plate?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CA River Plate win (35%). Probabilities: CA Atenas 34%, draw 31%, CA River Plate 35%.

How many goals are expected in CA Atenas vs CA River Plate?

The model expects 2.24 goals (CA Atenas 1.11 · CA River Plate 1.14), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Atenas vs CA River Plate?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.