Football · Uruguay Segunda · 06/09, 19:00

Prediction: Tacuarembo vs Club Oriental

Team pages: Tacuarembo · Club Oriental

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.83Total
Tacuarembo0.82
Club Oriental1.02
1X2
29% 32% 39%
Tacuarembo Draw Club Oriental
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Tacuarembo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLDLLWDWLL
Club Oriental 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DDLDWLLDWW
Head-to-head
Tacuarembo 1–2–3 Club Oriental (6 last)
  • Club Oriental2-0Tacuarembo
  • Tacuarembo1-1Club Oriental
  • Club Oriental1-0Tacuarembo
  • Club Oriental2-2Tacuarembo
  • Tacuarembo1-0Club Oriental
  • Club Oriental2-1Tacuarembo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tacuarembo 1461 · Club Oriental 1492
TacuaremboDrawClub Oriental
Our model27%35%38%
Market30%30%41%
Estimated total (ours) 1.83 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Club Oriental: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TacuaremboClub Oriental
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 11.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.70.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/33/44%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 3.42.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)7.1 / 0.44.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tacuarembo 123 Club Oriental

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/06/26
Uruguay Segunda
Club Oriental2-0
HT 1-0
Tacuarembo
10/08/25
Uruguay Segunda
Tacuarembo1-1Club Oriental
19/05/25
Uruguay Segunda
Club Oriental1-0
HT 0-0
Tacuarembo
08/03/25
Uruguay Segunda
Club Oriental2-2
HT 1-1
Tacuarembo
11/08/24
Uruguay Segunda
Tacuarembo1-0
HT 0-0
Club Oriental
12/05/24
Uruguay Segunda
Club Oriental2-1
HT 0-0
Tacuarembo

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTacuaremboClub Oriental
Colon FC 0-1 L 1-1 D
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 0-2 L 2-2 D
CA River Plate 1-0 W 1-2 L
Plaza Colonia 0-2 L 2-0 W
La Luz 0-2 L 2-0 W
Cerrito 0-0 D 1-1 D
CA Atenas 0-2 L 0-1 L
Paysandu FC 1-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 5 L 2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Club Oriental (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tacuarembo

WLDLLWDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 25 L
23/08 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 615 L
16/08 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 15 W
09/08 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 47 D
02/08 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 W
25/07 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-2 85 L
13/07 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 0-2 26 L
05/07 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 15 D
27/06 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 0-2 36 L
20/06 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 414 W

Club Oriental

DDLDWLLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/08 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 32 W
23/08 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 26 W
14/08 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 41 D
09/08 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 05 L
04/08 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 1-2 109 L
19/07 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 67 W
12/07 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 14 D
05/07 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 75 L
28/06 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 54 D
20/06 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-2 53 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tacuarembo vs Club Oriental?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Club Oriental win (39%). Probabilities: Tacuarembo 29%, draw 32%, Club Oriental 39%.

How many goals are expected in Tacuarembo vs Club Oriental?

The model expects 1.83 goals (Tacuarembo 0.82 · Club Oriental 1.02), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Tacuarembo vs Club Oriental?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.