Football · Uruguay Segunda · 06/09, 22:00

Prediction: Rentistas vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Team pages: Rentistas · Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.17Total

Rentistas1.07

Atletico Fenix Montevideo1.1

1X2

34% 31% 35%

Rentistas Draw Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Rentistas 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWDLDD

Atletico Fenix Montevideo 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLWDDLWD

Head-to-head

Rentistas 0–3–3 Atletico Fenix Montevideo (6 last)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo1-1Rentistas
Rentistas0-0Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Atletico Fenix Montevideo0-0Rentistas
Rentistas1-3Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Rentistas0-1Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Atletico Fenix Montevideo2-1Rentistas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rentistas 1525 · Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1486

	Rentistas	Draw	Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Our model	33%	32%	35%
Market	34%	30%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Atletico Fenix Montevideo: 3-3-0.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rentistas	Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 6.2	2.3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.8	6.3 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.00

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.63▲	Bet365 2.63
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.63 → 2.50▼	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
20:10 +14’	2.50	3.00	2.63
01:46 +29’	2.63▲	3.00	2.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rentistas 0–3–3 Atletico Fenix Montevideo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Uruguay Segunda	Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1-1 HT 0-0	Rentistas
04/10/25 Uruguay Segunda	Rentistas	0-0 HT 0-0	Atletico Fenix Montevideo
12/07/25 Uruguay Segunda	Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0-0 HT 0-0	Rentistas
15/10/22 Uruguay Clausura	Rentistas	1-3 HT 0-1	Atletico Fenix Montevideo
16/07/22 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio	Rentistas	0-1 HT 0-0	Atletico Fenix Montevideo
30/05/22 Uruguay Apertura	Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2-1 HT 1-0	Rentistas

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Oriental	6	4	1	1	8	5	13
2	Plaza Colonia	6	3	3	0	9	2	12
3	Colon FC	6	2	3	1	8	5	9
4	Rentistas	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
5	Miramar Misiones	6	1	2	3	3	7	5
6	Paysandu FC	6	1	1	4	4	7	4
7	CA River Plate	6	1	1	4	6	13	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rentistas	Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Miramar Misiones	1-1 D	1-1 D
Tacuarembo	0-1 L	2-0 W
Plaza Colonia	1-1 D	1-4 L
La Luz	5-2 W	0-0 D
Cerrito	0-0 D	1-1 D
CA Atenas	3-1 W	1-0 W
Paysandu FC	1-2 L	0-1 L
Huracan DPA	2-1 W	2-0 W
Uruguay Montevideo	1-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Rentistas (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rentistas

WWLWDWDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
21/08	Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-1	10	4	D
16/08	Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-1	12	5	L
10/08	Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
01/08	La Luz Uruguay Segunda	2-1	5-2	1	12	W
18/07	Cerrito Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
12/07	CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda	2-1	3-1	4	11	W
04/07	Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda	1-1	1-2	10	5	L
27/06	Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
21/06	Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-0	6	10	W

Atletico Fenix Montevideo

DLWLWDDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
23/08	Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda	1-0	2-0	1	15	W
16/08	Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda	1-3	1-4	3	7	L
08/08	La Luz Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
02/08	Cerrito Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
26/07	CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
14/07	Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-1	6	8	L
05/07	Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
27/06	Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	2-1	2-3	9	11	L
20/06	Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda	0-1	2-2	8	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rentistas vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico Fenix Montevideo win (35%). Probabilities: Rentistas 34%, draw 31%, Atletico Fenix Montevideo 35%.

How many goals are expected in Rentistas vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Rentistas 1.07 · Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Rentistas vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.