Football · Uruguay Segunda · 31/08, 00:00

Prediction: Club Oriental vs Plaza Colonia

Team pages: Club Oriental · Plaza Colonia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Club Oriental1.1
Plaza Colonia1.18
1X2
33% 31% 37%
Club Oriental Draw Plaza Colonia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Club Oriental 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WDDLDWLLDW
Plaza Colonia 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLLWLWWDWD
Head-to-head
Club Oriental 1–1–4 Plaza Colonia (6 last)
  • Plaza Colonia3-1Club Oriental
  • Plaza Colonia2-0Club Oriental
  • Club Oriental1-2Plaza Colonia
  • Plaza Colonia0-1Club Oriental
  • Plaza Colonia1-1Club Oriental
  • Club Oriental2-3Plaza Colonia
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Oriental 1470 · Plaza Colonia 1529
Club OrientalDrawPlaza Colonia
Our model32%31%36%
Market33%31%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plaza Colonia (rating 1470 vs 1529).
  • H2H favours Plaza Colonia: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Club OrientalPlaza Colonia
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 11.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 4.42.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.15.9 / 0.8

Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Oriental 114 Plaza Colonia

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/05/26
Uruguay Segunda
Plaza Colonia3-1
HT 1-1
Club Oriental
25/04/26
Uruguay Segunda
Plaza Colonia2-0
HT 1-0
Club Oriental
16/11/24
Uruguay Segunda
Club Oriental1-2
HT 0-1
Plaza Colonia
27/07/24
Uruguay Segunda
Plaza Colonia0-1
HT 0-1
Club Oriental
08/09/18
Uruguay Segunda
Plaza Colonia1-1
HT 1-0
Club Oriental
14/04/18
Uruguay Segunda
Club Oriental2-3
HT 1-0
Plaza Colonia

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentClub OrientalPlaza Colonia
La Luz 2-0 W 1-0 W
Cerrito 1-1 D 0-1 L
CA Atenas 0-1 L 1-2 L
Paysandu FC 1-2 L 2-1 W
CA River Plate 1-2 L 2-3 L
Colon FC 1-1 D 1-1 D
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 2-2 D 4-1 W
Rentistas 3-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 3 L 3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Club Oriental (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Oriental

WDDLDWLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 26 W
14/08 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 41 D
09/08 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 05 L
04/08 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 1-2 109 L
19/07 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 67 W
12/07 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 14 D
05/07 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 75 L
28/06 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 54 D
20/06 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-2 53 D
14/06 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 3-0 44 W

Plaza Colonia

WLLWLWWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 25 D
16/08 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
3-1 4-1 17 W
10/08 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 35 D
02/08 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 3-0 79 W
25/07 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 2-0 35 W
11/07 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 2-3 45 L
04/07 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 210 W
28/06 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 86 L
21/06 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 1-2 76 L
14/06 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-1 49 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Oriental vs Plaza Colonia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Plaza Colonia win (37%). Probabilities: Club Oriental 33%, draw 31%, Plaza Colonia 37%.

How many goals are expected in Club Oriental vs Plaza Colonia?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Club Oriental 1.1 · Plaza Colonia 1.18), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Oriental vs Plaza Colonia?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.