Prediction: Club Oriental vs Plaza Colonia
Team pages: Club Oriental · Plaza Colonia
- Plaza Colonia3-1Club Oriental
- Plaza Colonia2-0Club Oriental
- Club Oriental1-2Plaza Colonia
- Plaza Colonia0-1Club Oriental
- Plaza Colonia1-1Club Oriental
- Club Oriental2-3Plaza Colonia
| Club Oriental | Draw | Plaza Colonia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 31% | 36% |
| Market | 33% | 31% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plaza Colonia (rating 1470 vs 1529).
- H2H favours Plaza Colonia: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Oriental | Plaza Colonia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.4 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 5.9 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Oriental 1–1–4 Plaza Colonia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 Uruguay Segunda | Plaza Colonia | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Club Oriental |
| 25/04/26 Uruguay Segunda | Plaza Colonia | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Club Oriental |
| 16/11/24 Uruguay Segunda | Club Oriental | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Plaza Colonia |
| 27/07/24 Uruguay Segunda | Plaza Colonia | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Club Oriental |
| 08/09/18 Uruguay Segunda | Plaza Colonia | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Club Oriental |
| 14/04/18 Uruguay Segunda | Club Oriental | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Plaza Colonia |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Oriental | Plaza Colonia |
|---|---|---|
| La Luz | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Cerrito | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| CA Atenas | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Paysandu FC | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| CA River Plate | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Colon FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Rentistas | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Oriental (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Oriental
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/08 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 04/08 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 19/07 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 05/07 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Plaza Colonia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
3-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 10/08 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 25/07 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 28/06 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Oriental vs Plaza Colonia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Plaza Colonia win (37%). Probabilities: Club Oriental 33%, draw 31%, Plaza Colonia 37%.
How many goals are expected in Club Oriental vs Plaza Colonia?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Club Oriental 1.1 · Plaza Colonia 1.18), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Oriental vs Plaza Colonia?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

