Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 02/09, 22:00

Prediction: Yaracuyanos vs Urena SC

Team pages: Yaracuyanos · Urena SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.33Total

Yaracuyanos1.3

Urena SC1.02

1X2

42% 29% 29%

Yaracuyanos Draw Urena SC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Yaracuyanos 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LWDLDDWDWD

Urena SC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWDDDL

Head-to-head

Yaracuyanos 3–1–2 Urena SC (6 last)

Urena SC1-1Yaracuyanos
Yaracuyanos0-2Urena SC
Urena SC0-1Yaracuyanos
Yaracuyanos3-1Urena SC
Urena SC1-0Yaracuyanos
Yaracuyanos2-1Urena SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yaracuyanos 1516 · Urena SC 1544

	Yaracuyanos	Draw	Urena SC
Our model	42%	30%	28%
Market	43%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Yaracuyanos: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yaracuyanos	Urena SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.9	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6	2.4 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.8	4.1 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:07 +7’	2.10	3.20	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Yaracuyanos 3–1–2 Urena SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Urena SC	1-1 HT 0-0	Yaracuyanos
04/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Yaracuyanos	0-2 HT 0-0	Urena SC
22/09/24 Venezuela Segunda Division	Urena SC	0-1 HT 0-1	Yaracuyanos
07/08/24 Venezuela Segunda Division	Yaracuyanos	3-1 HT 1-1	Urena SC
12/05/24 Venezuela Segunda Division	Urena SC	1-0 HT 1-0	Yaracuyanos
22/03/24 Venezuela Segunda Division	Yaracuyanos	2-1 HT 2-0	Urena SC

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Lara	22	13	6	3	38	19	45
2	Barquisimeto	22	11	7	4	36	23	40
3	Urena SC	22	10	9	3	34	21	39
4	Yaracuyanos	22	9	7	6	27	21	34
5	Academia Puerto Cabello II	23	8	5	10	30	29	29
6	Zamora II	22	7	7	8	32	33	28
7	Atletico Barinas	22	7	3	12	42	51	24
8	Atletico El Vigia	23	6	6	11	25	39	24
9	Real Frontera	22	3	2	17	19	47	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yaracuyanos	Urena SC
Barquisimeto	0-0 D	1-1 D
Zamora II	2-1 W	2-2 D
Academia Puerto Cabello II	0-0 D	1-0 W
Real Frontera	2-0 W	5-1 W
CD Lara	2-2 D	3-2 W
Atletico El Vigia	0-0 D	0-1 L
Atletico Barinas	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 1 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Urena SC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yaracuyanos

LWDLDDWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
22/08	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
14/08	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
08/08	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
02/08	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-2	4	10	D
25/07	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
06/06	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	1-2	13	3	L
31/05	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	13	1	D
24/05	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
20/05	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-3	8	9	L

Urena SC

WWDWWWDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
23/08	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
09/08	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	8	8	D
03/08	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-2	2-2	2	9	D
29/07	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
25/07	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	3-0	5-1	4	6	W
06/06	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	3-2	2	6	W
31/05	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
24/05	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
20/05	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yaracuyanos vs Urena SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Yaracuyanos win (42%). Probabilities: Yaracuyanos 42%, draw 29%, Urena SC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Yaracuyanos vs Urena SC?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Yaracuyanos 1.3 · Urena SC 1.02), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Yaracuyanos vs Urena SC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.