Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 03/09, 01:00

Prediction: CD Lara vs Barquisimeto

Team pages: CD Lara · Barquisimeto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

CD Lara1.64

Barquisimeto1.06

1X2

50% 27% 24%

CD Lara Draw Barquisimeto

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Lara 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLDWWW

Barquisimeto 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWDWLD

Head-to-head

CD Lara 1–1–0 Barquisimeto (2 last)

Barquisimeto0-1CD Lara
CD Lara1-1Barquisimeto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Lara 1535 · Barquisimeto 1499

	CD Lara	Draw	Barquisimeto
Our model	50%	27%	23%
Market	50%	26%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Lara	Barquisimeto
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	1.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.6	5.6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.40

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:54 +22’	1.80	3.40	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Lara 1–1–0 Barquisimeto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Barquisimeto	0-1 HT 0-1	CD Lara
05/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	CD Lara	1-1 HT 0-1	Barquisimeto

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Lara	22	13	6	3	38	19	45
2	Barquisimeto	22	11	7	4	36	23	40
3	Urena SC	22	10	9	3	34	21	39
4	Yaracuyanos	22	9	7	6	27	21	34
5	Academia Puerto Cabello II	23	8	5	10	30	29	29
6	Zamora II	22	7	7	8	32	33	28
7	Atletico Barinas	22	7	3	12	42	51	24
8	Atletico El Vigia	23	6	6	11	25	39	24
9	Real Frontera	22	3	2	17	19	47	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Lara	Barquisimeto
Zamora II	2-0 W	2-1 W
Academia Puerto Cabello II	3-0 W	2-2 D
Real Frontera	2-0 W	2-1 W
Yaracuyanos	2-2 D	0-0 D
Atletico El Vigia	1-2 L	2-5 L
Atletico Barinas	4-1 W	5-1 W
Urena SC	2-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Lara (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Lara

DWWLWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
22/08	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	3-0	5	7	W
15/08	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	2-0	5	7	W
02/08	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-2	7	10	D
29/07	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	0	4	L
25/07	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	4-1	8	5	W
06/06	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	2-3	10	6	L
30/05	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-0	0	9	W
24/05	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	4-1	2	4	W
20/05	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-1	7	6	D

Barquisimeto

WLLWDWDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
23/08	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	1-2	2-5	4	2	L
15/08	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	5-1	3	3	W
09/08	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	2	8	D
29/07	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	1	9	W
25/07	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	2-2	2	9	D
06/06	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-1	10	7	W
30/05	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-1	5	9	L
24/05	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	9	7	L
20/05	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	5-0	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Lara vs Barquisimeto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Lara win (50%). Probabilities: CD Lara 50%, draw 27%, Barquisimeto 24%.

How many goals are expected in CD Lara vs Barquisimeto?

The model expects 2.69 goals (CD Lara 1.64 · Barquisimeto 1.06), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Lara vs Barquisimeto?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.