Football · Hong Kong 1st Division · 04/10, 07:30

Prediction: Central & Western vs Resources Capital FC

Team pages: Central & Western · Resources Capital FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.89Total

Central & Western1.56

Resources Capital FC2.32

1X2

25% 21% 54%

Central & Western Draw Resources Capital FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Central & Western 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWWWWW

Resources Capital FC 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WWDDDDLWDW

Head-to-head

Central & Western 5–1–0 Resources Capital FC (6 last)

Central & Western5-2Resources Capital FC
Resources Capital FC1-2Central & Western
Resources Capital FC0-1Central & Western
Central & Western7-0Resources Capital FC
Central & Western1-1Resources Capital FC
Resources Capital FC1-2Central & Western

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Central & Western 1577 · Resources Capital FC 1540

	Central & Western	Draw	Resources Capital FC
Our model	25%	21%	54%
Market	25%	21%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Central & Western: 5-1-0.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Central & Western	Resources Capital FC
Goals for / against (FT)	3.5 / 1.4	2.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/25/25%	44/33/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.5	2.8 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	4.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.60

X4.33

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.95

2 (-0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 17:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
X	4.10 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33
2	2.88 → 1.67▼	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
05:20 +27’	1.95	4.10	2.88
13:42 +9’	2.35▲	4.00▼	2.30▼
16:58 +2’	3.60▲	4.33▲	1.67▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Central & Western 5–1–0 Resources Capital FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Hong Kong 1st Division	Central & Western	5-2	Resources Capital FC
14/09/25 Hong Kong 1st Division	Resources Capital FC	1-2 HT 1-2	Central & Western
27/04/25 Hong Kong 1st Division	Resources Capital FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Central & Western
06/10/24 Hong Kong 1st Division	Central & Western	7-0 HT 2-0	Resources Capital FC
03/11/19 Hong Kong 1st Division	Central & Western	1-1 HT 1-0	Resources Capital FC
08/05/19 Hong Kong 1st Division	Resources Capital FC	1-2	Central & Western

Standings · Hong Kong 1st Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Central & Western	4	4	0	0	17	2	12
2	Citizen AA	4	3	1	0	8	4	10
2	Tung Sing	4	3	1	0	8	4	10
4	WSE	4	3	0	1	8	4	9
5	Resources Capital FC	3	2	1	0	16	3	7
6	Yuen Long	3	2	1	0	11	3	7
7	Hoi King	4	2	0	2	6	7	6
8	Sham Shui Po	4	1	1	2	4	5	4
9	South China AA	4	1	1	2	3	4	4
10	Sky Leader FC	4	1	0	3	3	11	3
11	Kui Tan SC	4	1	0	3	4	14	3
12	Leaper FC	3	0	0	3	2	5	0
13	Lucky Mile	4	0	0	4	3	13	0
14	Bright Cerulean FC	3	0	0	3	2	16	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Central & Western	Resources Capital FC
Bright Cerulean FC	3-0 W	10-1 W
Hoi King	0-2 L	5-1 W
Sham Shui Po	0-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Resources Capital FC (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Central & Western

LWDLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 1st Division	2-1	4-1	5	5	W
20/09	Sky Leader FC Hong Kong 1st Division	2-0	5-0	2	3	W
13/09	Bright Cerulean FC Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	3-0	5	2	W
06/09	Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division	3-0	5-1	7	3	W
17/05	Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division	–	5-2	–	–	W
10/05	Bright Cerulean FC Hong Kong 1st Division	2-1	6-1	5	3	W
26/04	Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
19/04	Yuen Long Hong Kong 1st Division	0-1	2-2	9	2	D
12/04	Citizen AA Hong Kong 1st Division	–	5-2	–	–	W
22/03	Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	0-3	5	0	L

Resources Capital FC

WWDDDDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Bright Cerulean FC Hong Kong 1st Division	3-0	10-1	8	3	W
20/09	South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	1-1	4	10	D
13/09	Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	5-1	11	1	W
17/05	Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division	–	2-5	–	–	L
10/05	Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
26/04	Kwun Tong Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	1-1	10	2	D
19/04	Tung Sing Hong Kong 1st Division	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
12/04	Hoi King Hong Kong 1st Division	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
22/03	South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
15/03	Shatin Hong Kong 1st Division	0-1	2-1	10	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Central & Western vs Resources Capital FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Resources Capital FC win (54%). Probabilities: Central & Western 25%, draw 21%, Resources Capital FC 54%.

How many goals are expected in Central & Western vs Resources Capital FC?

The model expects 3.89 goals (Central & Western 1.56 · Resources Capital FC 2.32), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Central & Western vs Resources Capital FC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.