Prediction: Tung Sing vs Bright Cerulean FC
Team pages: Tung Sing · Bright Cerulean FC
- Bright Cerulean FC3-6Tung Sing
- Tung Sing2-1Bright Cerulean FC
- Bright Cerulean FC6-1Tung Sing
- Tung Sing0-8Bright Cerulean FC
| Tung Sing | Draw | Bright Cerulean FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 84% | 10% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tung Sing (rating 1551 vs 1349).
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tung Sing | Bright Cerulean FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 0/29/71% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.7 | 0.4 / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.5 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tung Sing 2–0–2 Bright Cerulean FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Hong Kong 1st Division | Bright Cerulean FC | 3-6 HT 1-2 | Tung Sing |
| 28/09/25 Hong Kong 1st Division | Tung Sing | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Bright Cerulean FC |
| 12/02/23 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Bright Cerulean FC | 6-1 HT 3-0 | Tung Sing |
| 01/01/23 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Tung Sing | 0-8 HT 0-3 | Bright Cerulean FC |
Standings · Hong Kong 1st Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central & Western | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | WSE | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Yuen Long | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Tung Sing | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Resources Capital FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Citizen AA | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | South China AA | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Hoi King | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 9 | Sky Leader FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 10 | Sham Shui Po | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 | Kui Tan SC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
| 12 | Leaper FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 13 | Lucky Mile | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 1 |
| 14 | Bright Cerulean FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tung Sing | Bright Cerulean FC |
|---|---|---|
| South China AA | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Yuen Long | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| WSE | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Lucky Mile | 6-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Resources Capital FC | 0-0 D | 1-10 L |
| Kwun Tong | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Tung Sing (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tung Sing
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Yuen Long Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 20/09 | WSE Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Sham Shui Po Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Supreme FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division |
3-2 | 6-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | WSE Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Kwun Tong Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
Bright Cerulean FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | WSE Hong Kong 1st Division |
– | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Resources Capital FC Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-3 | 1-10 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Yuen Long Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Yuen Long Hong Kong 1st Division |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Central & Western Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Shatin Hong Kong 1st Division |
1-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 19/04 | Kwun Tong Hong Kong 1st Division |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | South China AA Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | Lucky Mile Hong Kong 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tung Sing vs Bright Cerulean FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tung Sing win (80%). Probabilities: Tung Sing 80%, draw 12%, Bright Cerulean FC 8%.
How many goals are expected in Tung Sing vs Bright Cerulean FC?
The model expects 4.52 goals (Tung Sing 3.26 · Bright Cerulean FC 1.26), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tung Sing vs Bright Cerulean FC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.