Football · Romania Liga III · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: Transilvania Sport Academy vs CS Crisul Santandrei

Team pages: CS Crisul Santandrei

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.71Total

Transilvania Sport Academy1.1

CS Crisul Santandrei2.61

1X2

13% 17% 70%

Transilvania Sport Academy Draw CS Crisul Santandrei

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Transilvania Sport Academy 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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CS Crisul Santandrei 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Transilvania Sport Academy 1386 · CS Crisul Santandrei 1533

	Transilvania Sport Academy	Draw	CS Crisul Santandrei
Our model	13%	18%	69%
Market	14%	16%	70%

Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Crisul Santandrei (rating 1386 vs 1533).
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Transilvania Sport Academy	CS Crisul Santandrei
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 3.7	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 2.7	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/0/67%	33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 3.7	2 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 1	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

16.50

X5.50

21.28

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.82

2 (-1.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:10 +16’	6.50	5.50	1.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 8

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CS Minaur Baia Mare	10	7	2	1	27	7	23
2	CS Sanatatea Cluj	10	5	4	1	17	7	19
3	CS Crisul Santandrei	10	6	1	3	17	14	19
4	CS Academica Recea	10	6	0	4	22	18	18
5	Sighetu Marmatiei	10	5	2	3	19	9	17
6	SCM Zalau	10	4	4	2	15	8	16
7	CF Bihorul Beius	10	3	4	3	9	10	13
8	CS Lotus Baile Felix	10	3	4	3	16	17	13
9	ACS Viitorul Cluj	10	3	3	4	18	15	12
10	AFC Unirea Tasnad	10	2	3	5	6	19	9
11	Unirea Dej	10	1	2	7	5	17	5
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	10	0	1	9	7	37	1

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Transilvania Sport Academy	CS Crisul Santandrei
Sighetu Marmatiei	0-5 L	2-4 L
AFC Unirea Tasnad	1-2 L	3-0 W
CS Minaur Baia Mare	0-6 L	1-0 W
ACS Viitorul Cluj	2-4 L	3-1 W
Unirea Dej	0-0 D	2-1 W
CS Academica Recea	1-7 L	0-2 L
SCM Zalau	2-3 L	2-1 W
CF Bihorul Beius	0-2 L	2-1 W
CS Lotus Baile Felix	1-3 L	2-2 D
CS Sanatatea Cluj	0-5 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 9 L	6 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CS Crisul Santandrei (10 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Transilvania Sport Academy

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Sighetu Marmatiei Romania Liga III	–	0-5	–	–	L
17/10	AFC Unirea Tasnad Romania Liga III	–	1-2	–	–	L
10/10	CS Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga III	–	0-6	–	–	L
02/10	ACS Viitorul Cluj Romania Liga III	2-1	2-4	4	9	L
26/09	Unirea Dej Romania Liga III	–	0-0	–	–	D
23/09	CS Academica Recea Romania Liga III	1-5	1-7	6	4	L
19/09	SCM Zalau Romania Liga III	–	2-3	–	–	L
12/09	CF Bihorul Beius Romania Liga III	–	0-2	–	–	L
05/09	CS Lotus Baile Felix Romania Liga III	–	1-3	–	–	L
28/08	CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III	0-2	0-5	1	3	L

CS Crisul Santandrei

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	ACS Viitorul Cluj Romania Liga III	1-1	3-1	4	3	W
16/10	Unirea Dej Romania Liga III	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
10/10	CS Academica Recea Romania Liga III	–	0-2	–	–	L
03/10	SCM Zalau Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	CF Bihorul Beius Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/09	CS Lotus Baile Felix Romania Liga III	–	2-2	–	–	D
19/09	CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	CS Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga III	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
05/09	Sighetu Marmatiei Romania Liga III	–	2-4	–	–	L
29/08	AFC Unirea Tasnad Romania Liga III	–	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Transilvania Sport Academy vs CS Crisul Santandrei?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CS Crisul Santandrei win (70%). Probabilities: Transilvania Sport Academy 13%, draw 17%, CS Crisul Santandrei 70%.

How many goals are expected in Transilvania Sport Academy vs CS Crisul Santandrei?

The model expects 3.71 goals (Transilvania Sport Academy 1.1 · CS Crisul Santandrei 2.61), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Transilvania Sport Academy vs CS Crisul Santandrei?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.