Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 20/09, 21:30
Prediction: Atletico El Vigia vs Real Frontera
Team pages: Atletico El Vigia · Real Frontera
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Atletico El Vigia2.26
Real Frontera0.73
1X2
Atletico El Vigia
Draw
Real Frontera
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico El Vigia
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Real Frontera
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico El Vigia
3–3
Real Frontera
(6 last)
- Atletico El Vigia4-1Real Frontera
- Real Frontera1-3Atletico El Vigia
- Atletico El Vigia0-1Real Frontera
- Real Frontera3-1Atletico El Vigia
- Atletico El Vigia1-2Real Frontera
- Real Frontera0-1Atletico El Vigia
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico El Vigia (rating 1548 vs 1373).
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico El Vigia | Real Frontera | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.1 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.4 | 1.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.4 | 5.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico El Vigia 3–0–3 Real Frontera
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/26 Venezuela Cup | Atletico El Vigia | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Real Frontera |
| 02/08/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Real Frontera | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Atletico El Vigia |
| 03/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Atletico El Vigia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Real Frontera |
| 07/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Real Frontera | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico El Vigia |
| 05/10/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Atletico El Vigia | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Real Frontera |
| 23/08/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Real Frontera | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico El Vigia |
Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Lara | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 46 | 20 | 60 |
| 2 | Barquisimeto | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Urena SC | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 41 | 28 | 45 |
| 4 | Yaracuyanos | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 27 | 37 |
| 5 | Zamora II | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 34 |
| 6 | Academia Puerto Cabello II | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 30 |
| 7 | Atletico El Vigia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 43 | 30 |
| 8 | Atletico Barinas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 55 | 28 |
| 9 | Real Frontera | 26 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 21 | 56 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico El Vigia | Real Frontera |
|---|---|---|
| CD Lara | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Yaracuyanos | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Atletico Barinas | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Urena SC | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Barquisimeto | 5-2 W | 1-5 L |
| Zamora II | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Academia Puerto Cabello II | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico El Vigia (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico El Vigia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/09 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/08 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-1 | 5-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 29/07 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
Real Frontera
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-4 | 1-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/09 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 29/07 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-3 | 1-5 | 7 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico El Vigia vs Real Frontera?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico El Vigia win (71%). Probabilities: Atletico El Vigia 71%, draw 19%, Real Frontera 10%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico El Vigia vs Real Frontera?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Atletico El Vigia 2.26 · Real Frontera 0.73), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico El Vigia vs Real Frontera?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.