Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 30/09, 21:30
Prediction: Atletico Barinas vs Barquisimeto
Team pages: Atletico Barinas · Barquisimeto
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Atletico Barinas1.67
Barquisimeto1.58
1X2
Atletico Barinas
Draw
Barquisimeto
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Barinas
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Barquisimeto
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Barinas
1–2
Barquisimeto
(3 last)
- Barquisimeto5-1Atletico Barinas
- Atletico Barinas2-1Barquisimeto
- Barquisimeto2-1Atletico Barinas
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barquisimeto (rating 1478 vs 1520).
- H2H favours Barquisimeto: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Barinas | Barquisimeto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.2 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.9 | 1.6 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.5 | 4.5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Barinas 1–0–2 Barquisimeto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Barquisimeto | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Atletico Barinas |
| 16/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Atletico Barinas | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Barquisimeto |
| 21/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Barquisimeto | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico Barinas |
Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Lara | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 46 | 20 | 60 |
| 2 | Barquisimeto | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 50 |
| 3 | Urena SC | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 45 |
| 4 | Yaracuyanos | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 27 | 40 |
| 5 | Zamora II | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 42 | 36 | 40 |
| 6 | Atletico El Vigia | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 45 | 34 |
| 7 | Academia Puerto Cabello II | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 40 | 31 |
| 8 | Atletico Barinas | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 49 | 59 | 31 |
| 9 | Real Frontera | 28 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 22 | 62 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Barinas | Barquisimeto |
|---|---|---|
| Zamora II | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Academia Puerto Cabello II | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Real Frontera | 1-1 D | 5-1 W |
| CD Lara | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Yaracuyanos | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Atletico El Vigia | 1-2 L | 2-5 L |
| Urena SC | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Barinas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 17/09 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 6 | L |
Barquisimeto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/09 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 05/09 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
4-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/09 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 29/07 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Barinas vs Barquisimeto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Barinas win (39%). Probabilities: Atletico Barinas 39%, draw 25%, Barquisimeto 36%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Barinas vs Barquisimeto?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Atletico Barinas 1.67 · Barquisimeto 1.58), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Barinas vs Barquisimeto?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.