Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 27/09, 21:30
Prediction: Aragua vs Atletico Avila
Team pages: Aragua · Atletico Avila
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
Aragua1.61
Atletico Avila0.52
1X2
Aragua
Draw
Atletico Avila
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Aragua
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Atletico Avila
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aragua
0–3–0
Atletico Avila
(3 last)
- Atletico Avila0-0Aragua
- Aragua1-1Atletico Avila
- Atletico Avila0-0Aragua
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aragua (rating 1519 vs 1411).
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aragua | Atletico Avila | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.7 | 1.7 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aragua 0–3–0 Atletico Avila
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Atletico Avila | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Aragua |
| 09/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Aragua | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico Avila |
| 15/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Atletico Avila | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Aragua |
Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-East
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas II | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 42 |
| 2 | Deportivo Miranda FC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 18 | 41 |
| 3 | Bolivar SC | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 37 |
| 4 | Aragua | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 36 |
| 5 | Dynamo Puerto FC | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 24 | 26 |
| 6 | Mineros | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 21 |
| 7 | CS Maritimo de La Guaira | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 20 |
| 8 | Atletico Avila | 22 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 28 | 16 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aragua | Atletico Avila |
|---|---|---|
| Bolivar SC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Miranda FC | 2-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Monagas II | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Dynamo Puerto FC | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Mineros | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Aragua (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aragua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 09/08 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
Atletico Avila
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 09/08 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 07/06 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 22/05 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aragua vs Atletico Avila?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aragua win (63%). Probabilities: Aragua 63%, draw 26%, Atletico Avila 11%.
How many goals are expected in Aragua vs Atletico Avila?
The model expects 2.14 goals (Aragua 1.61 · Atletico Avila 0.52), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Aragua vs Atletico Avila?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.